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Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals - 7/11/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Kansas City Royals (25-65) at Minnesota Twins (40-48)
Date & Time Wednesday July 11, 2018, 1:10 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Minnesota Twins -214 / Kansas City Royals +198 --- Over/Under: 9.5
TV Channel
FSN, FSKC
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MLB | Kansas City Royals (25-65) at Minnesota Twins (40-48)
Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals and the Minnesota Twins will be finishing up their MLB series on Wednesday from Target Field. 

The Twins managed a 3-1 win on Monday, then in game two, KC struck back with a 9-4 victory. 

For the Wednesday game, the Royals will be bringing out RHP Burch Smith. In his 38.1 innings and 0-0 mark, Smith has a 5.40 ERA with 39 Ks and 21 BBs this year. 

KC’s top hitter this year is Whit Merrifield, who entered game two on 102 hits, 37 runs and 29 RBI. On Tuesday, Merrifield had two hits and two runs. 

Over on the Twins’ side, they’re going with Lance Lynn on Wednesday. Across 86.1 innings and a 6-7 record this season, Lynn has a 5.21 ERA with 85 Ks and 52 BBs. 

Minnesota’s leading hitter is Eddie Rosario, who entered the Tuesday game with 105 hits, 58 runs, 18 homers and 54 RBI. In game two, Rosario managed a hit. 

The Royals are 16-36 in their last 52 in game three of a series and 1-4 in their last five Wednesday games. The under is 9-2 in KC’s last 11 Wednesday games and they’re 1-4 in their last five versus the AL Central. 

Meanwhile, the Twins are 1-7 in their last eight Wednesday games and 4-1 in Lynn’s last five home starts. The under is 5-0 in the Twins’ last five Wednesday games and 11-5 in their last 16 in game three of a series. 

Smith doesn’t have an extended body of work this year to apply to a starting situation, but he did put in 4.0 innings against the Red Sox his last time out, with two hits and no earned. As for Lynn, he coughed up seven earned in Chicago but bounced back with one earned in 6.0 innings against Baltimore. I’m not thrilled with either pitcher here, but I’m tentatively going with Lynn and the Twins.

Pick:
Minnesota Twins -214

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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