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Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets - 7/17/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
New York Mets at Minnesota Twins
Date & Time Wednesday July 17, 2019, 1:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Target Field
Minneapolis, Minnesota
The Line
Minnesota Twins -165 / New York Mets +155 O/U: 10.5
TV Channel
SNY, FSN
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The New York Mets and the Minnesota Twins will complete their MLB series on Wednesday.

In the Tuesday opener of this set, the Mets bagged two runs in the first inning and one more in the fifth to eke out a 3-2 win.

For Wednesday’s game, the Mets will be sending out Jason Vargas in the start. Vargas is 3-5 with a 4.23 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season.

The Mets put up seven hits in the Tuesday game. Michael Conforto put up a 4-for-4 line there with a run and an RBI, pretty much carrying the team to a win.

Over on the Twins’ side, they’re going with Martin Perez in the start Wednesday. Across his 95.0 innings and 8-3 record this year, Perez has a 4.26 ERA with 85 Ks and 40 BBs.

Minnesota out-hit the Mets 8-7 in the Tuesday loss and had a few solid offensive performances. three Twins hitters logged two hits apiece.

The Mets are 2-9 in their last 11 Wednesday games and 3-9 in their last 12 road games versus a left-handed starter. The under is 4-0 in the Mets’ last four Wednesday games as well.

Meanwhile, the Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 in game two of a series and 4-1 in Perez’s last five starts versus a team with a losing record. The over is 6-1 in the Twins’ last seven Wednesday games and 7-3-2 in the last 12 in game two of a series.

Perez has been kind of “blah” lately, logging just one quality start in his last five outings (two earned; 7.0 innings) and four earned in each of the others. He did win his last start though, and had a pretty good first half of the season overall.

The Mets will be shuffling things around this week as they scramble to patch the rotation after the departure of Zack Wheeler, who is on the IL with shoulder fatigue.

I’m not thrilled about Perez lately but can’t find a whole lot of reasons not to take the Twins.

Pick:
Minnesota Twins -165

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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