Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics - 7/18/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins
Thursday, July 18, 2019 at 7:10 PM (Target Field)
Minnesota Twins -135 / Oakland Athletics +115
The Oakland A’s and the Minnesota Twins meet in game one of a four game set in MLB action from Target Field on Thursday.
The Oakland A’s will look to keep the momentum going after winning six straight and eight of nine following a sweep of the Seattle Mariners, taking Wednesday’s finale in a 10-2 rout. Jurickson Profar had a pair of home runs and four RBIs while Chad Pinder had a homer and three RBIs and Mark Canha had a pair of solo home runs. Ramon Laureano went 3 for 4 with a solo home run and a pair of doubles to round out Oakland’s scoring as a team in the win while Khris Davis and Matt Olson each had base hits as well in the victory. Homer Bailey picked up the win in his Oakland debut, improving to 8-6 on the year after giving up two runs on seven hits while striking out six over six innings of work. Mike Fiers will start game one and is 9-3 with a 3.61 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. In his career, Fiers is 6-1 with a 2.66 ERA and 65 strikeouts against Minnesota.
The Minnesota Twins will be out to snap a three game losing streak after being swept in a two game interleague set by the Mets, dropping Wednesday’s finale by a final score of 14-4. Mitch Garver and Nelson Cruz each had a solo home run while Eddie Rosario and Miguel Sano each had RBIs as well to finish off the Twins’ scoring in the defeat. Jorge Polanco and Max Kepler each had a double while Marwin Gonzalez and Luis Arraez each chipped in a base hit in the losing effort. Martin Perez gave up two runs, one earned, on five hits while striking out four over six innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Trevor May took the loss, falling to 3-3 on the year in relief. Kyle Gibson will start game one and is 8-4 with a 4.03 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gibson is 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Oakland.
Oakland is 42-10 in their last 52 games against the AL Central and 6-1 in Fiers’ last 7 starts while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games. Minnesota is 15-6 in Gibson’s last 21 starts and 36-17 in their last 53 home games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Oakland is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Minnesota.
You could make a case for either side, but I think there’s some value to be had with Oakland here. Sure, Gibson has gone 5-1 at home this season and the Twins are still leading the AL Central, but the division lead is shrinking and the Twins didn’t look good against the Mets AND that series was at home when the Mets have been a terrible road team this season. Oakland hasn’t lost since the all-star break and has been arguably the hottest team in the majors over the last month. Fiers has also been very solid, giving up one earned run or less in each of his last five starts and has had a lot of success against Minnesota in his career, including a 5-1 record with an ERA under three at Target Field. I’ll take Oakland and the plus money as I think the A’s winning streak remains in tact for another day.