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Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners - 6/11/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins
Date & Time Tuesday June 11, 2019, 8:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Target Field
Minneapolis, MN
The Line
Minnesota Twins: -1.5 (-105) / Seattle Mariners: 1.5 (-115)
TV Channel
FS-North, ROOT-Northwest
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Lindsey Wasson-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Mariners and the Minnesota Twins meet in the opener of a three game set in MLB action from Target Field on Tuesday.

The Seattle Mariners will look to find some consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last six games following a 9-3 win in their series rubber match with the Angels on Sunday. Edwin Encarnacion and Tom Murphy each had a pair of home runs and three RBIs while Kyle Seager had a homer and two RBIs and Daniel Vogelbach chipped in a solo home run of his own to cap off Seattle’s scoring as a team in the victory. Domingo Santana went 2 for 4 and Tim Beckham had a double while Mac Williamson, Dylan Moore and Mallex Smith each chipped in base hits as well in the winning effort. Wade LeBlanc threw six innings of relief, giving up two runs on six hits while striking out eight to get the win, improving to 3-2 on the year. Mike Leake will start game one and is 5-6 with a 4.30 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. In his career, Leake is 2-0 with a 4.32 ERA and 12 strikeouts against Minnesota.

The Minnesota Twins will also look to keep their momentum going after winning their series with Detroit on the weekend, taking the series finale on Sunday by a final score of 12-2. Nelson Cruz had a home run and three RBIs while going 3 for 6 while Eddie Rosario, C.J. Cron and Byron Buxton each had two RBIs with Rosario and Buxton each hitting a home run while Cron had a double. Miguel Sano had a solo homer while Mitch Garver and Jorge Polanco each had an RBI with Garver hitting a double. Max Kepler and Ehire Adrianza each added a double with Adrianza going 2 for 3 to cap off Minnesota’s offense in victory. Jake Odorizzi got the win to improve to 9-2 on the year after allowing one run on five hits while striking out eight over six innings of work. Martin Perez will start the opener and is 7-2 with a 3.72 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. In his career, Perez is 8-5 with a 3.26 ERA and 80 strikeouts against Seattle.

Seattle is 4-18 in their last 22 road games and 0-5 in Leake’s last 5 road starts while the over is 39-19-3 in their last 61 games overall. Minnesota is 49-21 in their last 70 games overall and 5-1 in Perez’s last 6 starts against a team with a losing record while the over is 3-1-2 in their last 5 games following a win. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Minnesota.

I’m tempted to give the Mariners and the big plus money a look as Seattle looks like they’re starting to get back on track. However, Leake’s ERA nearly doubles on the road compared to at home and he hasn’t been an easy pitcher to trust for the better part of the season. Perez hasn’t been an ace by any means, but he’s quietly pitched a solid season so far, and Minnesota’s offense is one of the best in the majors so I’ll side with the Twins and to negate the heavy juice, I’ll back Minnesota on the RL here.

Pick:
Minnesota Twins: -1.5 (-105)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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