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Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers - 7/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins
Date & Time Friday July 5, 2019, 8:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Target Field
Minneapolis, MN
The Line
Minnesota Twins -167 / Texas Rangers +138
TV Channel
FS-North, FS-Southwest
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The Texas Rangers and the Minnesota Twins meet in game one of a three game set in MLB action from Target Field on Friday.

The Texas Rangers will look to pick up some momentum after salvaging a win against the Angels, avoiding the sweep with a 9-3 win in the series finale on Friday. Rougned Odor had a pair of home runs and five RBIs while Nomar Mazara went 4 for 5 with a pair of doubles and two RBIs. Danny Santana and Asdrubal Cabrera each had an RBI to finish off Texas’ scoring as a team in the win while Shin-Soo Choo and Elvis Andrus each went 2 for 5 with a double. Joey Gallo, Willie Calhoun and Jeff Mathis each had a base hit as well to finish off the Rangers’ offense as a team in the victory. Lance Lynn picked up the win to improve to 11-4 on the year after giving up two runs on nine hits while striking out five over seven innings of work. Adrian Sampson will start game one and is 6-5 with a 4.16 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. This will be Sampson’s first career start against Minnesota.

The Minnesota Twins will look to bounce back after dropping their series with the Oakland A’s, losing the rubber match on Thursday by a final score of 7-2. Ehire Adrianza accounted for both Minnesota RBIs while Nelson Cruz went 3 for 5 with a double and Max Kepler added an double as well in the win. Jonathan Schoop ended up 2 for 4 while Luis Arraez, Miguel Sano and Jason Castro each had base hits as well in the defeat for the Twins. Jose Berrios took the loss, falling to 8-5 on the year after allowing three runs on six hits over five innings of work. Martin Perez will start game one and is 7-3 with a 4.15 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season. This will be Perez’s first career start against Texas.

Texas is 5-0 in their last 5 games against the AL Central and 5-2 in their last 7 series opening matchups while the under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 road games. Minnesota is 4-0 in Perez’s last 4 starts against the AL West and 2-5 in their last 7 games overall while the over is 6-1 in Perez’s last 7 starts overall. The over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

You have to imagine that Perez will be itching to get a crack at his former team, and the Twins have been solid at home this season. However, even with a good outing in his last start, I feel like I still need to see more from Perez before saying that he’s back on track after allowing at least four runs in each of his previous five starts. Sampson has been up and down in his own right, but the Rangers have stepped up their game recently and are looking like they’re going to be a team to watch in the second half of the season. I’ll take a stab at Texas and the plus money in this one.

Pick:
Texas Rangers +138

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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