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Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 4/18/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins
Date & Time Thursday April 18, 2019, 1:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Target Field
Minneapolis, MN
The Line
Over: 8 (-116) / Under: 8 (-105)
TV Channel
RSN, FS-North
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Ben Ludeman-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Minnesota Twins meet in the finale of their four game set from Target Field in MLB action on Thursday.

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to win the set after dropping game three on Wednesday by a final score of 4-1. Justin Smoak accounted for the lone Toronto RBI and Freddy Galvis went 2 for 4 at the dish while Eric Sogard, Randal Grichuk, Teoscar Hernandez, Brandon Drury and Billy McKinney each had a base knock as none of Toronto’s eight hits as a team went for extra bases in the defeat. Trent Thornton gave up all four runs on six hits while walking and whiffing three apiece over 4.2 innings, taking the loss to fall to 0-2 this season. Clay Buchholz will start game four and is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 2 strikeouts this season. In his career, Buchholz is 4-2 with a 3.76 ERA and 60 strikeouts against Minnesota.

The Minnesota Twins will look to salvage a series split after picking up the win in game three on Wednesday. Nelson Cruz led the Twins, going 2 for 3 with a double and two RBIs while Marwin Gonzalez went 2 for 3 with an RBI of his own as well in the victory. Jorge Polanco and Max Kepler each doubled with Polanco going 2 for 3 at the dish. C.J. Cron and Jason Castro each had a base hit as well in the winning effort. Jake Odorizzi got the win to improve to 1-2 after allowing one run on six hits while striking out six over 5.2 innings of work. Blake Parker picked up his 4th save of the season by striking out a pair in the 9th. Michael Pineda will start the finale and is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pineda is 2-4 with a 3.98 ERA and 61 strikeouts against Toronto.

Toronto is 1-7 in their last 8 games against a right-handed starter and 3-7 in their last 10 road games while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. Minnesota is 14-6 in their last 20 games overall and 37-18 in their last 55 home games while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 Thursday games. Toronto is 55-26 in the last 81 meetings between these two teams.

Toronto has been solid in the first two games of the set before regressing to the norm of what we’ve seen from Toronto this season where the offense just sputters. Minnesota took game three, and the Twins have been the better team for most of the early going, but I’m still not keen on laying this kind of juice with Minnesota on a quick turnaround. Instead, I’m going to side with the under. Both pitchers (Pineda and Buchholz) have looked good out of the gate and I’m expecting a game with a lot of zeroes on the board so give me the under in what should be a low scoring affair on getaway day.

Pick:
Under: 8 (-105)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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