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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins - 5/11/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Miami Marlins at New York Mets
Date & Time Saturday May 11, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Citi Field
Queens, New York
The Line
The Line: Miami Marlins +256 / New York Mets -283 -- Over/Under: 6.5
TV Channel
WPIX, FSFL
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Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action at Citi Field.

The Miami Marlins could use a win after losing 10 of their last 12 games. The Marlins have allowed 18 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in 10 of their last 13 games. The Miami Marlins are 1-24 this season when allowing four or more runs. Offensively, Starlin Castro leads the Marlins with 35 hits and 11 RBI while Brian Anderson and Miguel Rojas have combined for 64 hits and 20 RBI. Sandy Alcantara gets the ball, and he is 1-3 with a 4.93 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 1-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.

The New York Mets could also use a win after losing 10 of their last 15 games. The Mets have scored 20 runs in their last three games and three or less runs in seven of their last nine games. The New York Mets have lost five straight games when scoring three or less runs. Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with 49 hits and 14 RBI while Amed Rosario and Pete Alonso have combined for 77 hits and 55 RBI. Jacob deGrom gets the ball, and he is 2-4 with a 3.60 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. deGrom is 5-6 with a 3.36 ERA and 135 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.

The Marlins are 15-7 in their last 22 Saturday games, 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series and 1-4 in Alcantaras last 5 starts. The Mets are 11-4 in their last 15 during game 2 of a series, 6-18 in deGroms last 24 home starts and 0-5 in deGroms last 5 starts. The Marlins are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in New York, 0-5 in the last 5 meetings and the Mets are 2-7 in deGroms last 9 starts vs. Marlins. The under is 23-10-2 in deGroms last 35 starts overall. The under is 14-4 in Marlins last 18 road games.

Alcantara has given up three or more runs in four of his last five games and is allowing a .279 batting average on the season. The New York Mets haven't won with deGrom on the hill in over a month, but he's allowed two or less runs in four of his seven starts and is giving up a .221 batting average on the season. The bottom line here is that the Marlins can't put offense together to save their life, and I doubt that changes against one of the most talented pitchers in the league. I'll take the Mets and the RL to add some actual value to a crazy steep ML.

Pick:
New York Mets -1.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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