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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins - 8/7/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Miami Marlins at New York Mets
Date & Time Wednesday August 7, 2019, 12:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Citi Field
Flushing, NY
The Line
New York Mets: -1.5 (+100) / Miami Marlins: 1.5 (-120)
TV Channel
FS-Florida, SNY
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Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Marlins and the New York Mets meet in the finale of their four game NL East division set from Citi Field in MLB action on Wednesday.

The Miami Marlins will look to salvage a win and avoid the sweep after dropping game three on Tuesday by a final count of 5-0. Jon Berti went 2 for 4 with a pair of doubles while Garrett Cooper and Lewis Brinson each had a pair of hits as well. Starlin Castro, Hector Noesi and Martin Prado each had base hits as well to finish off Miami’s offense in the losing effort. Noesi took the loss, falling to 0-1 on the year after giving up five runs on five hits while walking and whiffing three apiece over five innings of work. Jordan Yamamoto will start game four and is 4-2 with a 3.94 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. This will be Yamamoto’s first career start against the Mets.

The New York Mets will look to complete the sweep and keep surging on after Tuesday’s win made it 12 victories in their last 13 games. Wilson Ramos had a home run and three RBIs while Pete Alonso cranked a solo home run and Todd Frazier. Had a double and an RBI to finish off New York’s scoring as a team in the winning effort. J.D. Davis and Jeff McNeil each went 2 for 3 at the dish with Davis adding a double while Luis Guillorme had a double as well to finish off New York’s offense as a team in the victory. Zack Wheeler threw eight shutout innings, giving up just eight hits while striking out five to improve to 9-6 on the year. Steven Matz will start game four and is 6-7 with a 4.60 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. In his career, Matz is 3-3 with a 2.85 ERA and 50 strikeouts against Miami.

Miami is 0-5 in their last 5 games overall and 25-61 in their last 86 road games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. New York is 8-2 in Matz’s last 10 home starts and 17-4 in their last 21 games against a right-handed starter while the over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 division games. Miami is 0-5 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and 1-10 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams in New York while New York is 6-1 in Matz’s last 7 starts against Miami.

The plus money could be worth a look given that Matz was the pitcher on the hill for the only blemish during the Mets’ recent hot streak. However, Matz is a much better pitcher at home where he’s gone 4-0 with a 2.06 ERA this season, compared to 2-7 with an ERA just under seven on the road. Yamamoto is also starting to show signs of being a rookie, as he’s allowed 15 runs in 14 innings across his last three starts. The Fish also appear to be back in one of those grooves where runs are hard to come by, and that won’t do against a Mets team that’s firing on all cylinders right now. I’ll side with the Mets for the sweep and to cut down some of the heavy juice, I’ll take New York on the RL.

Pick:
New York Mets: -1.5 (+100)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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