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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Game 1 - 8/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Marlins at New York Mets
Date & Time Monday August 5, 2019, 4:10 PM (EDT)
Citi Field
New York, New York
The Line
Miami Marlins +290 / Miami Marlins +290 O/U: 7.5
TV Channel
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Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Marlins and the New York Mets will meet up on the MLB diamond to begin their series Monday in game one of a doubleheader.

Miami is coming out of a weekend pari versus the Rays. The Marlins fell 8-6 on Saturday there and in the Sunday game Miami lost 7-2.

For the Monday start in game one, Miami is going with Sandy Alcantara. This season, Alcantara is 4-10 with a 4.54 ERA in 21 starts.

Over on the Mets’ side, they just finished up against the Pirates this weekend. New York split the first two installments of that set, then on Sunday the Mets cruised to a 13-2 win.

For the Monday game, the Mets will send out Jacob deGrom in the early start. This year deGrom is 6-7 with a 2.78 ERA and 174 Ks.

The Marlins are 18-38 in their last 56 in game one of a series and 9-20 in their last 29 road games versus a team with a losing record. Miami is 19-44 in their last 63 versus the NL East and the over is 7-3 in their last 10 Monday games.

Meanwhile, the Mets are 5-12 in their last 17 in game one of a series and 1-5 in their last six Monday games. The under is 5-1 in New York’s last six game ones of a series and the over is 7-3 in their last 10 Monday games.

Alcantara hasn’t been himself since the All Star Game, logging a bloated 7.89 ERA since then. Back on Wednesday, Alcantara put up 4.2 innings against the Twins and allowed a whopping seven earned.

This is a pretty lopsided pitching matchup, which is why the line’s so thick. Still, I’m going Mets.

New York Mets -330

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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