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New York Mets vs. New York Yankees - 7/3/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
New York Yankees at New York Mets
Date & Time Wednesday July 3, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Citi Field
Flushing, NY
The Line
New York Yankees -131 / New York Mets +120 -- O/U: 9.5
TV Channel
ESPN, SNY, YES
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Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees and the New York Mets meet in the finale of their Subway Series in MLB interleague action from Citi Field on Wednesday.

The New York Yankees will look to bounce back and settle for a series split after dropping game one on Tuesday by a final score of 4-2. Gleyber Torres and James Paxton each had an RBI while Didi Gregorius went 2 for 4 and Aaron Hicks added a double in the loss. Edwin Encarnacion and Brett Gardner each contributed base hits as well as the Yankees mustered up just six hits as a team in the losing effort while also watching their 31-game home run streak come to an end. Paxton allowed one run on eight hits over six innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Adam Ottavino took the loss, falling to 3-3 and taking his 4th blown save of the season. Domingo German will start game two and is 9-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. In his career, German is 0-1 with a 6.52 ERA and 12 strikeouts against the Mets.

The New York Mets will look to complete the sweep after taking the series opener on Tuesday. J.D. Davis led the charge by going 2 for 4 with a home run, a double and two RBIs while Michael Conforto had a double and two RBIs of his own in the win. Jeff McNeil and Robinson Cano each had two hits as well while Todd Frazier and Wilson Ramos each chipped in a base hit as well to finish off the Mets’ offense as a team in the winning effort. Zack Wheeler allowed two runs on five hits while striking out eight over 6.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Seth Lugo got the win in relief to improve to 4-2 on the year while Edwin Diaz closed out the 9th for his 18th save of the year. Jason Vargas will start game two and is 3-3 with a 3.66 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. In his career, Vargas is 1-7 with a 6.59 ERA and 42 strikeouts against the Yankees.

The Yankees are 46-18 in their lat 64 games overall and 4-1 in their last 5 road games while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 games against the NL East. New York is 6-2 in Vargas’ last 8 home starts and 2-7 in their last 9 games overall while the over is 5-2-2 in their last 9 interleague games.

The Mets winning on Tuesday caught me a bit off guard as the Yankees were trending in the right direction before faltering. Common logic may suggest going with the Yankees as they’re more likely to bounce back and have their win leader in German on the mound for this one. However, German hasn’t pitched in nearly a month, and in his last three starts before taking time off due to injury, German allowed 14 runs in 14.2 innings of work. Vargas exorcised some demons against the Yankees a few weeks ago, giving up just three runs in six innings. That’s the only start where Vargas has allowed more than two earned runs since coming off of the IL on May 25th, and since he’s giving the Mets a solid chance to win every time he’s been taking the mound, I think the Mets and the plus money hold some value on Wednesday for the surprising sweep.

Pick:
New York Mets +120

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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