New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 4/22/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
Monday, April 22, 2019 at 6:10 PM (Citi Field)
New York Mets -110 / Philadelphia Phillies -110
TV: ESPN, SNY
The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets meet in game one of a three game NL East division set in MLB action from Citi Field on Monday night.
The Philadelphia Phillies will look to refocus here after losing their series with Colorado over the weekend following a 4-1 loss in the series finale on Sunday. J.T. Realmuto accounted for the lone Phillies RBI while Andrew McCutchen went 2 for 5 and Maikel Franco and Andrew Knapp each had a double to cap off Philly’s offense as the Phils cranked out just five hits as a team in the losing effort. Jerad Eickhoff ended up with the loss, falling to 0-1 after allowing four runs on seven hits while walking four and striking out eight over six innings of work. Jake Arrieta will start game one and is 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. In his career, Arrieta is 3-3 with a 2.33 ERA and 64 strikeouts against the Mets.
The New York Mets will look to rebound after losing six of their last eight games including their series against the Cardinals following a 6-4 loss in the series finale on Sunday. All of the Mets’ damage on the board was done with solo homers, as Pete Alonso and Robinson Cano each went 2 for 4 with a solo homer while Michael Conforto and starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard each hit a solo jack as well. Amed Rosario added a base hit as well as the Mets put up seven hits as a team in the defeat. Syndergaard took the loss on the mound, allowing all six runs, four earned, on eight hits while striking out five over five innings of work. Steven Matz will start the opener and is 1-1 with a 4.96 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. In his career, Matz is 0-3 with a 5.96 ERA and 18 strikeouts against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 8-21 in their last 29 road games and 5-2 in their last 7 games against a left-handed starter while the under is 5-1 in Arrieta’s last 6 starts overall. New York is 2-10 in Matz’s last 12 home starts against a team with a winning record and 1-4 in their last 5 division games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. New York is 0-4 in Matz’s last 4 starts against Philadelphia.
Both of these teams come in off of series losses over the weekend, and the Mets have a solid offense that could break out at home here. However, Matz was just torched by this same Phillies squad in his last start, allowing eight runs, six earned, while failing to record a single out, adding to his career woes against the Phils. Arrieta has been solid lately and has started the year well and I think this just comes down to getting the better price with the better team so I’ll side with Philadelphia to pick up the win in game one on Monday.