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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 7/6/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
Date & Time Saturday July 6, 2019, 7:15 PM (EDT)
Location
Citi Field
Flushing, NY
The Line
New York Mets -150 / Philadelphia Phillies +130
TV Channel
FOX
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The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets meet in game two of a three game NL East division set in MLB action from Citi Field on Saturday.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to build some steam after emerging with a 7-2 win in the series opener on Friday. Jean Segura went 2 for 5 with a double and two RBIs while Scott Kingery added a solo home run. Bryce Harper, Jay Bruce, Cesar Hernandez and Sean Rodriguez each had an RBI to round out Philadelphia’s scoring as a team in the win with Harper adding a double. J.T. Realmuto had a pair of two-baggers to cap off the Phillies’ offense as a team in the victory. Vince Velasquez gave up two runs on six hits over five innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Adam Morgan picked up the win in relief to improve to 3-3 this season. Jake Arrieta will start game two and is 8-6 with a 4.43 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. In his career, Arrieta is 4-4 with a 2.85 ERA and 73 strikeouts against the Mets.

The New York Mets will look for a bounce back performance after dropping the series opener on Friday. Pete Alonso led the charge by going 2 for 4 with a home run, a double and two RBIs while Robinson Cano went 2 for 4 and Jeff McNeil, Todd Frazier and Wilson Ramos each had a base hit to cap off the offense for the Mets in the defeat. Jacob DeGrom gave up two runs on three hits while striking out ten over seven innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Edwin Diaz took the loss, falling to 1-6 on the year in relief. Noah Syndergaard will start game two and is 5-4 with a 4.56 ERA and 98 strikeouts this season. In his career, Syndergaard is 5-3 with a 3.71 ERA and 73 strikeouts against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia is 4-1 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts and 3-8 in their last 11 road games while the under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games following a win. New York is 1-8 in their last 9 division games and 2-9 in their last 11 games overall while the over is 9-3-2 in their last 14 division games. Philadelphia is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

Arrieta hasn’t had a ton of luck at Citi Field, going 1-3 in five career starts and he’s allowed nine runs in his last 12 innings across two starts, but to be honest, that’s about the only reason I can see the Mets deserving to be this kind of favorite on Saturday. Syndergaard pitched decent in his first start back off of the IL, but he’s still getting back into the swing of things and gave up five runs in five innings in his lone start against Philly earlier this season. The difference for the two in my opinion is that the Phillies are having an easier time consistently finding wins while the Mets just find ways to lose more often than not so I think that the plus money with Philadelphia holds some value on Saturday.

Pick:
Philadelphia Phillies +130

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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