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New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 7/27/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets
Date & Time Saturday July 27, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Citi Field
Flushing, NY
The Line
New York Mets -135 / Pittsburgh Pirates +115
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The Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Mets will square off in game two of a three game set in MLB action from Citi Field on Saturday.

The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to snap a six game losing streak after starting the set with a 6-3 loss on Friday. Adam Frazier went 2 for 4 with a home run, a double and two RBIs while Colin Moran added an RBI as well in the defeat. Josh Bell went 2 for 4 while Melky Cabrera, Bryan Reynolds and Jose Osuna each chipped in a base hit as well in the defeat. Dario Agrazal took the loss, falling to 2-1 on the year after allowing five runs on four hits over 5.1 innings of work. Trevor Williams will start game two and is 3-3 with a 4.96 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. In his career, Williams is 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA and 8 strikeouts against the Mets.

The New York Mets will look to keep the ball rolling after their series opening victory on Friday. Jeff McNeil had a home run and three RBIs while Pete Alonso, Wilson Ramos and Todd Frazier each had solo home runs to round out New York’s scoring as a team in the win. Amed Rosario added a double while Juan Lagares added a base hit as the Mets had just six hits as a team in the victory. Zack Wheeler got the win to improve to 7-6 on the year after allowing three runs on six hits while striking out seven over 5.1 innings of work. Seth Lugo closed out the 9th for his 1st save of the season. Steven Matz will start game two and is 5-6 with a 4.75 ERA and 86 strikeouts this season. In his career, Matz is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 24 strikeouts against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh is 1-4 in Williams’ last 5 road starts and 0-6 in their last 6 games overall while the over is 12-3-2 in their last 17 games against a team with a losing record. New York is 1-5 in Matz’s last 6 starts and 7-2 in Matz’s last 9 home starts while the over is 5-2-2 in their last 9 Saturday games.

The plus money with Pittsburgh could hold some value considering that Williams has only allowed one run in 13 career innings against the Mets in addition to the fact that he’s pitched better on the road than at home this season. However, the Pirates are sliding big time right now, losing six straight and as far as Williams goes, he’s still a pitcher with an 8.13 ERA in five starts since coming off of the DL over a month ago. Matz has had his ups and downs but he’s a much better pitcher at home with a 3-0 record and a 2.54 ERA at Citi Field compared to a 2-6 mark with a 6.40 ERA away from home this season. Given the form of the two teams, I think you have to lay the reasonable price with the Mets in this one.

Pick:
New York Mets -135

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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