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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals - 8/9/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Washington Nationals at New York Mets
Date & Time Friday August 9, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Citi Field
Flushing, NY
The Line
New York Mets +105 / Washington Nationals -125
TV Channel
MASN, SNY
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Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals and the New York Mets meet in game one of a three game NL East division set in MLB action from Citi Field on Friday night.

The Washington Nationals will look to keep the momentum going after completing the three game sweep of the Giants to start the week, including a 4-1 win in game three on Wednesday. Gerardo Parra had a home run and three RBIs while Juan Soto added an RBI as well in the win. Adam Eaton went 3 for 4 and Trea Turner went 2 for 5 while Andrew Stevenson chipped in a double. Yan Gomes and Asdrubal Cabrera each chipped in base hits as well in the victory. Joe Ross got the win to improve to 2-3 on the year after throwing six shutout innings, giving up just three hits while striking out five over six innings of work. Stephen Strasburg will start game one and is 14-5 with a 3.72 ERA and 175 strikeouts this season. In his career, Strasburg is 9-5 with a 2.82 ERA and 151 strikeouts against the Mets.

The New York Mets will look to keep their momentum going after winning six straight and 13 of their last 14 games following a 7-2 win in the series finale against Miami on Wednesday, completing the four game sweep. Michael Conforto had a pair of home runs and three RBIs while Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso each had a home run and two RBIs. Wilson Ramos went 2 for 4 at the dish while Steven Matz, Aaron Altherr, Todd Frazier and J.D. Davis each had a base hit to cap off the Mets’ offense in the victory. Matz got the win on the mound, improving to 7-7 on the year after giving up two runs on seven hits while striking out seven over 6.2 innings of work. Marcus Stroman will start the opener and is 6-11 with a 3.07 ERA and 102 strikeouts this season. This will be Stroman’s first career start against Washington.

Washington is 40-12 in Strasburg’s last 52 road starts, 43-11 in Strasburg’s last 54 division starts and 20-8 in their last 28 division games while the under is 13-3 in their last 16 road games. New York is 20-7 in their last 27 games overall and 8-0 in their last 8 home games while the over is 7-2-2 in their last 11 division games. Washington is 8-1 in Strasburg’s last 9 road starts against the Mets.

New York and plus money almost feels too good to be true given the way the Mets have been playing lately combined with the fact that Strasburg’s last start on the road was horrendous, allowing nine runs in less than five full innings of work, watching his ERA rise nearly half a run over a single start. However, the majority of the Mets’ wins over this hot stretch have come over the likes of Miami, Pittsburgh and the White Sox. If you take out the losses to the Mets during this hot streak, those three teams are a combined 23-44 in the second half of the season so far. Washington’s in the thick of the wild card race and Strasburg’s had a lot of success at Citi Field in his career, going 8-1 with a 2.18 ERA, including a 1.32 ERA in two starts at Citi Field this season. I think the Nationals being favored here just goes to speak to how well Strasburg’s pitched in this situation so I’ll lay the juice with Washington in game one on Friday.

Pick:
Washington Nationals -125

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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