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New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins - 5/3/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees
Date & Time Friday May 3, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Yankee Stadium
New York, New York
The Line
New York Yankees -152 / Minnesota Twins +142 O/U: 8
TV Channel
FSN, YES
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Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins and the New York Yankees will kick off their MLB series on Friday.

Minnesota comes into this one fresh off a series versus the Astros. The Twins took a 1-0 win Monday, then lost 11-0 Tuesday before snagging victories in the final pair 6-2 and 8-2 to take the set.

For Friday’s game, the Twins will be sending out Kyle Gibson in the start. Over his 27.2 innings and 2-0 record this year, Gibson has a 4.88 ERA with 24 Ks and eight walks.

Over on the Yankees’ side, they played the Diamondbacks this week at the tail end of a West Coast road trip. New York dropped those two games however, falling 3-1 and 3-2.

For Friday’s matchup, the Yankees will be sending out James Paxton in the start. In his 34.2 innings and 3-2 mark so far, Paxton has a 3.32 ERA with 51 Ks and 10 BBs.

The Twins are 4-0 in their last four in game one of a series and 5-0 in Gibson’s last five road starts. Minnesota is 7-1 in Gibson’s last eight starts and 7-2 in his last nine Friday starts.

Meanwhile, the Yankees are 5-1 in their last six home games and 9-2 in the last 11 Friday games. new York is 9-3 in their last 12 overall and 4-1 in Paxton’s last five starts.

After a stretch of 12 earned across three starts to begin the season, Gibson has calmed down quite a bit, posting a nice 13.0 innings with three earned on eight hits in his last two starts (both wins).

As for Paxton, he’s 2-0 in his last three starts with a combined three earned (all in one game) in those appearances. That said, it’s tough knowing what you’re going to get from an injured Yankees offense from game to game, and I think Gibson can control most of the lineup if he’s on. I’m going Twins on a value pick here.

Pick:
Minnesota Twins +142

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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