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Paul Goldschmidt Trade: Handicapping St. Louis Cardinals World Series Odds

Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals have traded for first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, sending the Arizona Diamondbacks Luke Weaver, Carson Kelly, Andrew Young, and a 2019 Competitive Balance Round B draft pick. 

The Cardinals, who haven’t made the playoffs in each of the last three years, obviously got significantly better, but is this team worth placing a future bet on in the upcoming 2019 season?


Right now, you can get the Cardinals at +1200 (BetOnline) or +2300 (Bovada) to win the World Series. That’s a bigger payout than what you’re getting with the Atlanta Braves, Chicago Cubs, Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers. Future bets should always be about the return when you consider your money is being tied up for several months.

The Cardinals just missed out on the playoffs last year, missing the last wild card spot by 2.5 games. Add one of the best players in baseball in the middle of that order, and the Cards have to like their chances against any team in the National League.

Since becoming an all-star in 2013, Goldschmidt has averaged 166 hits, 30 homers, 100 RBI, while producing a .301 batting average with a .947 OPS. Goldschmidt has been in the MVP conversation each of the last four years and has combined for a 11.2 WAR the last two seasons. Yes, Goldschmidt’s numbers dipped a little bit last season, but that was expected when Chase Field went with a humidor, and the entire team saw a step back in offensive production.

Goldschmidt has topped 30 homers in four of the last six seasons and should return to the player he was a couple of years ago now that he’s playing in the NL Central and Busch Stadium half the season. After all, Goldschmidt is hitting .337 in 97 at bats in Wrigley Field, .420 in 102 at bats in Miller Park, .286 in 107 at bats in PNC Park and .278 in 105 at bats at Great American Ballpark. Needless to say, Goldschmidt likes playing NL Central teams, which I’m sure factored into the Cardinals decision to pull the trigger.

Goldschmidt also has far more protection in St. Louis than he had in Arizona, as he’ll be hitting behind Jose Martinez and Matt Carpenter, while Marcell Ozuna will be backing him up. Pick your poison. Bottom line is all four of those guys are good for 150-plus hits and there’s now multiple home run threats. While there were eight players with double-digit homers, only Carpenter hit at least 25 on the season.

The Cardinals were already an OK offense before this addition, as they averaged 4.69 runs per game, which was good for 10th in the majors and had 205 homers, which was 11th in the majors. The Cards also had a .730 OPS, which was a respectable 14th in baseball. However, Goldschmidt will help take things to another level and can help the Cardinals have one of the scariest offenses in the National League.

I’d like to see the Cardinals maybe add some bullpen help at some point to really put this club over the top. But right now, the Cardinals are in the mix to make it out of the National League and have more meat on the bone odd wise than some of the other contenders.

So, if you’re in the MLB future betting market, the Cardinals are an intriguing option. 

It’s also probably wise to lock it in sooner than later with Bryce Harper still an option to be added to this mix. If Harper joins the Cardinals (complete speculation) the Cardinals are the favorites to win the National League. Either way, it's exciting times for the Cardinals, as they're in the hunt in a wide open NL, with or without anymore moves. 

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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