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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - 3/31/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Sunday March 31, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
The Line
The Line: Atlanta Braves +135 / Philadelphia Phillies -145 -- Over/Under: 9
TV Channel
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James Lang-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park.

The Atlanta Braves look to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games a combined score of 10-18. The Braves entered the offseason with pitching concerns and those issues are showing straight out the gate. The good news is the Braves have been good enough offensively to win both games, so there’s hope moving forward. The Atlanta Braves hope to avoid their first 0-3 start since 2016. Matt Joyce leads the Braves with one hit and two RBI while Brian McCann and Nick Markakis have combined for two hits and one RBI. Kyle Wright gets the ball, and he was 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and five strikeouts last season. This will be Wright’s first career game against the Phillies.

The Philadelphia Phillies are living up to expectations early and a revamped batting order has been fun to watch. The Phillies have five batters with two or more hits and have have a combined six homers. While it’s just two games, the Phillies have probably been the most impressive team up to this point. The Philadelphia Phillies look for their first 3-0 start since the 2011 season. Cesar Hernandez leads the Phillies with three hits and two RBI while Maikel Franco and Jean Segura have combined for six hits and six RBI. Jake Arrieta gets the ball, and he was 10-11 with a 3.96 ERA and 138 strikeouts last season. Arrieta is 4-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 40 strikeouts in his career against the Braves.

The Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League East, 19-7 in their last 26 Sunday games and 0-5 in their last 5 road games. The Phillies are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series, 1-4 in their last 5 Sunday games and 0-4 in Arrieta's last 4 starts. The Braves are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia and the under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia. The over is 5-1 in Arrieta's last 6 home starts. The under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 road games.

Wright enters this game with just six major league innings under his belt, and he's going up against a red hot offense that has very few weak points. Arrieta hasn't been shutdown Arrieta in a couple of years, but he was rather decent at home last year where he allowed a 3.64 ERA and a .238 batting average. Arrieta also has 21 strikeouts in 93 career at bats against current Braves hitters. I was high on the Atlanta Braves entering this season, but I can't bet against the Phillies with the way they're swinging the bats, especially when throwing a very green pitcher on the mound. The Phillies probably sweep. 

Philadelphia Phillies -145

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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