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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - 7/26/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Friday July 26, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, PA
The Line
Philadelphia Phillies +120 / Atlanta Braves -140
TV Channel
FS-South
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Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in game one of a three game NL East division set in MLB action from Citizens’ Bank Park on Friday.

The Atlanta Braves will look to bounce back after a humiliating sweep at the hands of the Kansas City Royals midweek, dropping the series finale by a final score of 2-0 on Wednesday. Ronald Acuna Jr., Freddie Freeman, Josh Donaldson, Nick Markakis and Charlie Culberson each had base hits as none of Atlanta’s five hits went for extra bases in the losing effort. Julio Teheran took the loss, falling to 5-7 on the year after allowing a pair of unearned runs on four hits while striking out six over six innings of work. Mike Soroka will start game one and is 10-2 with a 2.46 ERA and 86 strikeouts this season. This will be Soroka’s second career start against Philadelphia.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to close the gap in the division race after completing a sweep of the Detroit Tigers, taking the finale by a final score of 4-0 on Wednesday. J.T. Realmuto and Rhys Hoskins each belted a solo home run with Hoskins going 2 for 5 with a triple as well. Nick Williams and Cesar Hernandez each added an RBI with Hernandez chipping in a double to cap off Philadelphia’s scoring as a team in the win. Scott Kingery added a double while Roman Quinn went 2 for 4 and Maikel Franco added a base hit of his own in the victory. Vince Velasquez got the win to improve to 3-5 on the year after tossing 5.2 shutout innings, allowing just four hits while striking out nine. Zach Eflin will start game one and is 7-10 with a 4.25 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. In his career, Eflin is 2-1 with a 3.46 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Atlanta.

Atlanta is 17-5 in Soroka’s last 22 starts and 22-10 in their last 32 road games while the under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 division games. Philadelphia is 0-4 in Eflin’s last 4 starts and 1-10 in Eflin’s last 11 starts against a team with a winning record while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 games overall. Atlanta is 0-5 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia.

I’d like to take the Phillies at home to close the gap in the NL East race as they’ve been the better team in form since the start of the week. However, Eflin gave up seven runs, six earned, in three innings against Atlanta just a couple of starts ago, and the Phillies just haven’t had luck with Eflin on the mound, losing each of his last four starts and nine of his last 11 starts overall. Soroka gave up four runs in 4.2 innings to the Phillies earlier this season as well, but he has the better offense behind him that’s due to break out and there’s also the fact that Soroka has never lost on the road in his career, posting a 7-0 record with a stifling 1.64 ERA in 12 career starts away from home. I’ll side with Atlanta to draw first blood with a win on Friday.

Pick:
Atlanta Braves -140

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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