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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - 7/27/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Saturday July 27, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, PA
The Line
Philadelphia Phillies +115 / Atlanta Braves -135
TV Channel
FS-South
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The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in game two of a three game NL East division set in MLB action on Saturday.

The Atlanta Braves will look to build some momentum after opening the series with a 9-2 beatdown of the Phillies in game one on Friday. Ronald Acuna Jr. went 2 for 4 with three RBIs while Ozzie Albies and Freddie Freeman each had two RBIs with Albies belting his 25th double of the year. Brian McCann went 2 for 4 with a solo home run while Charlie Culberson added a base hit of his own as well in the victory. Mike Soroka allowed one run on eight hits while striking out five over 4.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Sean Newcomb got the win to improve to 4-1 on the year in relief. Max Fried will start game two and is 10-4 with a 4.08 ERA and 102 strikeouts this season. This will be Fried’s second career start against Philadelphia.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to bounce back after just their second loss in their last seven games following their defeat on Friday. Jean Segura went 3 for 5 with a solo home run while Bryce Harper added an RBI as well in the losing effort. Scott Kingery went 2 for 5 with a double while Cesar Hernandez and Adam Haseley each had two hits as well in the defeat. Rhys Hoskins and Andrew Knapp each had a base hit as well in the losing effort for the Phils. Jake Arrieta took the loss after allowing five runs, four earned on five hits while striking out four over five innings of work. Zach Eflin will start game two and is 7-10 with a 4.25 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. In his career, Eflin is 2-1 with a 3.46 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Atlanta.

Atlanta is 6-1 in Fried’s last 7 road starts and 22-10 in their last 32 road games while the under is 18-6-2 in their last 26 games overall. Philadelphia is 0-4 in Eflin’s last 4 starts and 1-10 in Eflin’s last 11 starts against a team with a winning record while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a left-handed starter. Atlanta is 1-5 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia.

The Phillies kind of threw me off by shifting Arrieta in place of Eflin in the game one start, but the result was still the same and that was a Braves blowout. With Eflin starting here, my thought process doesn’t change. The Phillies just don’t have luck with Eflin on the mound, losing nine of his last 11 starts and Eflin himself has allowed six or more runs in three of his last five starts, including seven runs, six earned, in just three innings against Atlanta just over three weeks ago. Fried has has his ups and downs recently, but he has the hotter lineup behind him right now and this is a series that the Braves can use to make a statement to the rest of the division. I’ll lay the reasonable juice with the Braves in this one.

Pick:
Atlanta Braves -135

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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