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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs - 8/15/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Thursday August 15, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
The Line
Philadelphia Phillies +120 / Chicago Cubs -130 O/U: 9.5
TV Channel
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Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Cubs and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet up on the MLB diamond to finish their series on Thursday.

In the Tuesday opener, the Phillies bagged a 4-2 victory. On Wednesday, Philadelphia kept it going with a big 11-1 win.

For the Thursday game, the Cubs will send out Yu Darvish in the start. Across his 132.0 innings and 4-6 record this year, Darvish has a 4.43 ERA with 158 Ks and 51 BBs.

In the loss Wednesday, the Cubs only put up four hits. Kris Bryant provided the only run with a solo homer in the seventh.

Over on the Phillies’ side, they’re sending out Drew Smyly on Thursday. Across 75.0 innings and a 2-6 record so far, Smyly has a 6.96 ERA with 76 Ks and 41 BBs.

Bryce Harper had a great night for the Phillies with two homers, three RBI and the hits lead (3) in the win Wednesday.

The Cubs are 54-22 in their last 77 Thursday games and 0-4 in Darvish’s last four road starts. Chicago is 0-5 in Darvish’s last five starts with five days’ rest and the over is 5-1 in their last six Thursday games.

Meanwhile, the over is 4-1-1 in Philly’s last six Thursday games and 2-5 in their last seven versus a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 11-4 in their last 15 versus the NL Central as well.

Darvish had a couple of good starts going, with three earned in 11.0 innings, but stumbled a bit in a loss his last time up with four earned in 6.0 innings on three homers.

As for Smyly, he’s put up nine earned over 10.2 innings on 11 hits in his last pair of starts and could use a good outing here as well.

So long as the Cubs can hang a few support runs on the board I don’t think Darvish is overmatched here. I’m going Chicago.

Chicago Cubs -130

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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