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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds - 6/9/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Sunday June 9, 2019, 1:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
The Line
Philadelphia Phillies -134 / Cincinnati Reds +124 O/U: 8.5
TV Channel
NSPA, FSOH
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The Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet up on the MLB diamond to finish up their series on Sunday.

In the Friday opener of this set, the Phillies put up a 4-2 win. On Saturday, Philly made it two straight with a 4-1 win.

For the Sunday game, the Reds will be sending out Sonny Gray in the start. Across his 61.0 innings and 2-5 record so far this year, Gray has a 3.54 ERA with 68 Ks and 23 BBs.

Cincinnati put up six hits in the Saturday loss, but couldn’t score anywhere outside of the first inning. Joey Votto and Nick Senzel each had two hits for the Reds there.

Over on the Phillies’ side, they’re going with Aaron Nola on Sunday. Across 70.0 innings and a 6-1 record this year, Nola has a 4.63 ERA with 79 Ks and 31 BBs.

Philly also put up six hits in the Saturday game, but didn’t end up needing any more runs than they got in the first inning (two). Jean Segura finished with two hits, a triple, an RBI and a run there.

The Reds are 37-78 in their last 115 Sunday games and 4-1 in Gray’s last five starts versus a team with a winning record. Cincinnati is 1-4 in Gray’s last five road starts and the under is 4-1 in his last five road starts.

Meanwhile, the Phillies are 1-4 in their last five in game three of a series and 6-1 in Nola’s last seven starts. Philly is 22-7 in Nola’s last 29 home starts and 9-3 in his last 12 in game three of a series.

In a solid run not too many people saw coming, Gray has been pretty good this season. He’s got two quality starts in his last three tries, allowing just three earned in a span of 17.0 innings.

As for Nola, he’s had a couple of bumps in the road here and there, and is coming off six earned on eight hits in 5.1 innings in San Diego—but he’s 3-1 in his last four starts.

This is actually pretty darn good pitching matchup and should be a close game. The Phillies play pretty well behind Nola (usually) though, so I’m going with them.

Pick:
Philadelphia Phillies -134

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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