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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies - 5/18/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Saturday May 18, 2019, 4:05 PM (EDT)
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, PA
The Line
Philadelphia Phillies -175 / Colorado Rockies +155 -- O/U: 9
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The Colorado Rockies and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in game two of their three game set in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Saturday.

The Colorado Rockies will look to rebound after dropping game one on Friday by a final score of 5-4. Ian Desmond had a home run and two RBIs while Mark Reynolds had a double and an RBI and Brendan Rodgers had an RBI of his own to round out Colorado’s scoring as a team in the loss. Charlie Blackmon had a double of his own while Nolan Arenado and Raimel Tapia each had base hits as well as the Rox had just five hits as a team in the losing effort. Jon Gray took the loss, falling to 3-4 on the year after allowing five runs on five hits while striking out eight over 4.2 innings of work. Antonio Senzatela will start game two and is 3-2 with a 5.35 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. In his career, Senzatela is 0-1 with a 4.97 ERA and 7 strikeouts against Philadelphia.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to build on their game one victory from Friday. Andrew McCutchen and Bryce Harper each had two RBIs with McCutchen hitting a homer while Harper hit a double. Cesar Hernandez went 2 for 4 with a pair of doubles and an RBI to round out Philly’s scoring as a team in the win. Jean Segura went 3 for 4 with a double while J.T. Realmuto added a two-bagger of his own to cap off Philadelphia’s offense as a team in victory. Cole Irvin got the win to improve to 2-0 this season after allowing four runs, three earned, on five hits over six innings of work. Hector Neris closed out the 9th for his 6th save of the season. Aaron Nola will start game two and is 3-0 with a 4.86 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. In his career, Nola is 2-0 with a 2.79 ERA and 26 strikeouts against Colorado.

Colorado is 7-3 in Senzatela’s last 10 starts and 1-7 in their last 8 Saturday games while the over is 5-0 in Senzatela’s last 5 starts. Philadelphia is 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 starts and 3-8 in their last 11 games against the NL West while the over is 8-1 in Nola’s last 9 starts. The over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia.

Philadelphia being favored at home makes sense with Nola on the mound, but I’m not about to pay this kind of price when the Rockies’ bats can break out at any time and Nola is coming off of a start in which he didn’t make it to the fourth inning after allowing three runs on 84 pitches. On the other hand, Senzatela has been up and down in his own right, giving up at least three runs in four of his last five starts. Which is why I’m going to side with the over. The over has cashed in each of Senzatela’s last five starts and in eight of Nola’s nine starts this season. I think both lineups can produce more offensive fireworks on Saturday, so I’ll take the over in a game that should hit double digits.

Over 9

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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