Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies - 5/19/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies
Sunday, May 19, 2019 at 12:05 PM (Citizens Bank Park)
Philadelphia Phillies -152 / Colorado Rockies +142 -- O/U: 10
The Colorado Rockies and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in the finale of their three game set in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Sunday afternoon.
The Colorado Rockies will look to avoid the sweep after dropping game two on Saturday by a final score of 2-1. Ryan McMahon had a double and the lone RBI for Colorado in the losing effort. Raimel Tapia went 2 for 4 while Tony Wolters had a triple and Nolan Arenado added a double. Charlie Blackmon, Trevor Story, David Dahl and Brendan Rodgers each had base hits as well in the loss for the Rockies. Antonio Senzatela took the loss, falling to 3-3 after allowing two runs, one earned, on five hits while walking four over five innings of work. Kyle Freeland will start the finale and is 2-5 with a 5.68 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. In his career, Freeland is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 8 strikeouts against Philadelphia.
The Philadelphia Phillies will look to complete the sweep after taking game two on Saturday. Bryce Harper had a solo home run and a double while Cesar Hernandez went 2 for 4 at the dish with a double of his own. Jean Segura and Rhys Hoskins each chipped in a base hit as well as the Phillies had just six hits as a team in the winning effort. Aaron Nola got the win to improve to 4-0 after allowing one run on eight hits while striking out 12 over six innings of work. Hector Neris closed out the final two innings for his 7th save of the season. Jerad Eickhoff will start the finale and is 2-2 with a 2.65 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. In his career, Eickhoff is 1-3 with a 7.50 ERA and 19 strikeouts against Colorado.
Colorado is 19-9 in their last 28 games against the NL East and 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games while the over is 16-5 in their last 21 games overall. Philadelphia is 2-8 in their last 10 games against the NL West and 2-5 in their last 7 games against a left-handed starter while the over is 13-5 in their last 18 home games against a left-handed starter. The over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia.
I swung and missed on the over yesterday, and while I was tempted to side with Philadelphia, who have been the better team for the first two games of the set, I can’t bring myself to back Eickhoff, who got shelled in his last start and has a massive ERA in his career against Colorado. On the other hand, Freeland has been a better pitcher on the road than at home, but his ERA is still well above four on the road and Freeland has had issues keeping runs off of the board in general as of late. I think the offenses wake up for the finale, so I’ll side with the over on Sunday.