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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers - 4/30/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Detroit Tigers at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Tuesday April 30, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, PA
The Line
Philadelphia Phillies -205 / Detroit Tigers +165 -- O/U: 9
TV Channel
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Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in game one of a mini two-game interleague set in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday night.

The Detroit Tigers will be out to snap a four game losing streak after losing the finale of their set with the Chicago White Sox by a final score of 4-1 on Sunday. Grayson Greiner accounted for the lone Detroit RBI while Nick Castellanos had a double as Detroit mustered up just two hits as a team in the losing effort with the rest of the Tigers batting 0 for 22 with 16 strikeouts. If you include everyone, the Tigers struck out in 20 of their 29 at-bats as a team in the loss. Matthew Boyd ended up with the loss on the mound, falling to 2-2 on the year after allowing two runs on five hits while striking out nine over six innings of work. Tyson Ross will start game one and is 1-3 with a 4.03 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. In his career, Ross is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 23 strikeouts against Philadelphia.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to keep the momentum going after three straight victories to take their series with Miami including a 5-1 win in the series finale on Sunday. Jean Segura led the charge by going 3 for 4 with a triple and an RBI while Rhys Hoskins had a double and an RBI and Bryce Harper added a run on the board of his own as the Phillies cranked out just four hits as a team in the winning effort. Zach Eflin picked up the win on the mound, throwing a complete game, allowing just one run on seven hits while striking out three to improve to 3-3 this season. Vince Velasquez will start game one and is 1-0 with a 1.99 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. This will be Velasquez’s second career start against Detroit.

Detroit is 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games and 0-4 in their last 4 games overall while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 series opening matchups. Philadelphia is 6-0 in Velasquez’s last 6 home starts and 5-1 in their last 6 home games while the under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games overall. Detroit is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

The Tigers have had past success in this matchup, but the two sides haven’t met since 2016 so that holds almost no weight here. What does hold water is how well Velasquez has pitched out of the gate, giving up just five runs in his four starts spanning 21.2 innings of work. Ross has been decent in his own right, but the Tigers lack the ability to consistently provide run support for the starting pitchers while Philadelphia has an offense that more consistent and likely to produce on a nightly basis. I’ll side with Philadelphia to draw first blood here and to counter the heavy line, I’ll back the Phillies on the run line here.

Philadelphia -1.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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