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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers - 5/1/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Detroit Tigers at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Wednesday May 1, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
The Line
Philadelphia Phillies -185 / Detroit Tigers +175 O/U: 8.5
TV Channel
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The Detroit Tigers and the Philadelphia Phillies will finish up their quick two-game set on Wednesday.

In the opener on Tuesday, the Tigers scored three runs in the third inning, and rode that wave to a 3-1 win.

For Wednesday’s game, the Tigers will be bringing out Spencer Turnbull in the start. Over his 26.0 innings and 1-2 mark this year, Turnbull has a 2.77 ERA with 26 Ks and 11 BBs.

The Tigers managed seven hits in the win Tuesday, and Nick Castellanos had two of them with a run. Niko Goodrum would add a two-run shot in that one as well.

Over on the Phillies’ side, they’re going with Aaron Nola on Wednesday. Across 31.2 innings and a 2-0 record on the season, Nola has a 5.68 ERA with 32 Ks and 13 BBs.

The Phillies could only muster four hits in the Tuesday loss. Andrew McCutchen managed a run, and Cesar Hernandez hit him in.

The Tigers are 17-35 in their last 52 in game two of a series and 3-9 in their last 12 Wednesday games. The over is 8-3 in Detroit’s last 11 Wednesday games and 4-1 in Turnbull’s last five starts overall.

Meanwhile, the Phillies are 1-4 in Nola’s last five starts and 11-5 in his last 16 starts in game two of a series. Philly is 2-6 in their last eight in game two of a series and 21-8 in Nola’s last 29 home starts.

Overall this season, Turnbull has been quite effective, with zero earned over his last 11.0 innings on five hits across two starts. Turnbull finally got his first win his last time up versus a stout Red Sox team as well.

As for Nola, he’s had a couple hiccups so far, but has been solid over his last pair with 12.1 innings of four-earned ball.

Still, I like Turnbull to keep it going here and help the Tigers bag a win.

Detroit Tigers +175

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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