Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - 4/27/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
Saturday, April 27, 2019 at 5:05 PM (Citizens Bank Park)
Philadelphia Phillies -175 / Miami Marlins +155 -- O/U: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in game three of their four game NL East division set from Citizens Bank Park on Saturday.
The Miami Marlins will look to rebound after being shut out in game two by a final score of 4-0. Jorge Alfaro went 2 for 4 and Lewis Brinson added a double while Starlin Castro and Miguel Rojas each chipped in a base hit as the Fish cranked out just five hits as a team in the losing effort on Friday. Jose Urena ended up with the loss, falling to 1-4 after allowing just two runs on four hits while walking three and whiffing four over seven innings of work. Trevor Richards will start game three and is 0-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. In his career, Richards is 1-2 with a 5.51 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Philadelphia.
The Philadelphia Phillies will look to take a series lead after evening up the set at one win apiece following their victory on Friday. All of Philadelphia’s scoring came via the home run as Bryce Harper launched a two run shot while J.T. Realmuto and Maikel Franco each hit solo homers. Rhys Hoskins and Nick Williams each had a double while Cesar Hernandez added a base hit to round out Philly’s offense in the winning effort. Jerad Eickhoff got the win to improve to 1-1 after tossing seven shutout innings, allowing just two hits while striking out six. Jake Arrieta will start game three and is 3-2 with a 2.65 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. In his career, Arrieta is 6-1 with a 2.78 ERA and 55 strikeouts against Miami.
Miami is 0-7 in Richards’ last 7 road starts and 0-6 in Richards’ last 6 starts while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 games overall. Philadelphia is 4-0 in their last 4 game three matchups and 9-4 in their last 13 home games against a right-handed starter while the under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games overall. Miami is 26-54 in the last 80 meetings between these two teams in Miami.
Richards hasn’t pitched terribly for most of the year, but the issue for Miami and the reason why Richards is still winless, is because of Miami’s atrocious offense. It’s gotten to a point where the Marlins are scoring runs so few and far between, that the price doesn’t matter on the line, you go against Miami and you profit more often than not. That’s no different with Arrieta on the mound, who held the Fish to one run in seven innings earlier this season and has pretty much owned Miami in his career. I’ll lay the juice with Philadelphia as I think Miami struggles again here.