Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
|Date & Time||Sunday April 28, 2019, 1:05 PM (EDT)|
Citizens Bank Park
The Line: Miami Marlins +160 / Philadelphia Phillies -179 -- Over/Under: 8.5
The Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park.
The Miami Marlins look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Marlins have scored 12 runs in their last three games and three or less runs in 10 of their last 12 games. The Miami Marlins have lost 10 of their last 13 games when scoring three or less runs. Starlin Castro leads the Marlins with 28 hits and nine RBI while Brian Anderson and Miguel Rojas have combined for 46 hits and 12 RBI. Pablo Lopez gets the ball, and he is 2-3 with a 4.44 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. This will be Lopez’s second career game against the Phillies.
The Philadelphia Phillies look for a victory after splitting their last 12 games. The Phillies have scored 17 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in four of their last eight games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won six of their last eight games when scoring more than one run. Cesar Hernandez leads the Phillies with 27 hits and nine RBI while Rhys Hoskins and J.T. Realmuto have combined for 50 hits and 38 RBI. Zach Eflin gets the ball, and he is 2-3 with a 4.15 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Eflin is 2-2 with a 5.52 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.
The Marlins are 16-36 in their last 52 vs. National League East, 6-16 in their last 22 during game 4 of a series and 2-9 in Lopez's last 11 starts. The Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games, 11-5 in their last 16 home games and 8-3 in Eflin's last 11 home starts. The Marlins are 26-55 in the last 81 meetings in Philadelphia and the over is 4-1 in Eflin's last 5 starts vs. Marlins. The under is 4-1 in Eflin's last 5 home starts. The under is 4-0 in Lopez's last 4 starts overall.
Lopez has shown promise this season, which includes averaging almost 10 strikeouts per nine innings, and is a worth a look whenever you can get him as an underdog. The problem is the Marlins still can't put together offense and it makes it nearly impossible to pick this club with any confidence. Eflin has been shaky in his last three starts and has issues keeping the ball in the park, but he pitches his best at home and has a productive offense behind him for support. I'm taking the Phillies, as the Marlins lack of offense anywhere makes them a tough team to get behind.