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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets - 4/15/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Monday April 15, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
The Line
Philadelphia Phillies -115 / New York Mets +105 O/U: 7.5
TV Channel
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Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet up on the MLB diamond on Monday to kick off their series.

The Mets are fresh off a set versus the Braves this weekend. New York won two of the first three games in that series, then on Sunday they fell 7-3. Brandon Nimmo bagged two hits for the Mets in that one, as did Jeff McNeil, who also plated a run.

For the Monday game, the Mets will be sending out Noah Syndergaard in the start. Across his 19.0 innings and 1-1 mark this year, Syndergaard has a 4.74 ERA with 20 Ks and two walks.

Over on the Phillies’ side, they’re going with Aaron Nola in the start Monday. Over 15.1 innings and a 1-0 mark this year, Nola has a 6.46 ERA with 13 Ks and eight walks.

Philadelphia played the Marlins this past weekend. After splitting the first two games of that set, on Sunday the Phillies banged out a 3-1 victory. Andrew McCutchen had just one hit in that one, but it was a big triple and he scored a run for the Phillies.

The Mets are 5-2 in their last seven Monday games and 14-6 in their last 20 versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The over is 5-2 in the Mets’ last seven Monday games and 5-2 in Syndergaard’s last seven Monday starts.

Meanwhile, the Phillies are 22-10 in Nola’s last 32 starts and 13-6 in his last 19 starts versus the NL East. Philadelphia is 21-6 in Nola’s last 27 home starts and 5-1 in his last six starts in game one of a series.

Over his three starts this year, Syndergaard has been solid but does have just the one game with fewer than four earned runs (two earned on one hit in 6.0 innings versus the Nats on April 4).

As for Nola, he came out firing in his debut but has 10 earned in 9.1 innings since then. It’s at least a little odd since Nola had some good starts toward the end of last season.

In any case, I’m not crazy about either pitcher here, but there’s probably a better chance Nola cleans his act up. I’ll go Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies -115

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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