Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets - 4/17/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
Wednesday, April 17, 2019 at 12:05 PM (Citizens Bank Park)
Philadelphia Phillies -120 / New York Mets +100
The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in the finale of their three game NL East division set from Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday afternoon.
The New York Mets will look to bounce back and win the series after dropping game two on Wednesday by a final score of 14-3 on Tuesday. Wilson Ramos led the Mets with two RBIs, going 1 for 3 with a solo homer while Michael Conforto added a solo shot of his own to round out New York’s scoring in the loss. Robinson Cano and Jeff McNeil each had two hits with a double while J.D. Davis went 2 for 4 and Dominic Smith and Amed Rosario each contributed a base hit as well in the defeat. Steven Matz took the loss, falling to 1-1 after failing to record a single out, giving up eight runs, six earned, on four hits. Zack Wheeler will start game three and is 1-1 with a 7.47 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. In his career, Wheeler is 4-1 with a 3.36 ERA and 57 strikeouts against Philadelphia.
The Philadelphia Phillies will look to build on their strong offensive performance on Tuesday. J.T. Realmuto and Scott Kingery each had three hits and five RBIs with both recording a solo homer and a double with Realmuto adding a pair of doubles. Maikel Franco had a three-run home run while Cesar Hernandez had a double and an RBI to finish off Philadelphia’s scoring in the winning effort. Andrew McCutchen went 2 for 5 while Jean Segura and Andrew Knapp each doubled and Bryce Harper chipped in a base hit as well in the victory. Nick Pivetta got the win to improve to 2-1 after allowing three runs on seven hits over five innings of work. Jake Arrieta will start game three and is 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. In his career, Arrieta is 2-3 with a 2.34 ERA and 61 strikeouts against the Mets.
New York is 8-2 in Wheeler’s last 10 division starts and 9-3 in their last 12 road games while the over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games overall. Philadelphia is 2-5 in Arrieta’s last 7 starts and 11-5 in their last 16 games against a right-handed starter while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. New York is 4-1 in Wheeler’s last 5 starts against Philadelphia.
The plus/even money with the Mets (depending on where you look) is tempting considering how well Wheeler has pitched within the division and how well the Mets have been playing on the road. However, Philadelphia has been easier to trust on offense out of the gate, and Wheeler has gotten off to a slow start, allowing 13 runs in 15.2 innings this season. I think with this being such an early start, there’s more likelihood for Philadelphia’s offense to carry over here, so I’ll lay the juice with Philadelphia in this spot.