Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 8/26/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
Monday, August 26, 2019 at 6:05 PM (Citizens Bank Park )
Philadelphia Phillies -140 / Pittsburgh Pirates +130 O/U: 9.5
TV: ATPT, NSPA
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Philadelphia Phillies will open up their MLB set on Monday.
The Pirates are coming off a weekend set against the Reds. Pittsburgh took the first pair of games in that series 3-2 and 14-0. In the Sunday finale, the Pirates eked one out 9-8 to complete the sweep.
For the Monday game, the Pirates will send out Joe Musgrove for the start. Across his 142.1 innings and 8-12 mark so far, Musgrove has a 4.74 ERA with 125 Ks and 34 BBs.
Over on the Phillies’ side, they’re fresh off a set versus the Marlins. The Phillies lost 19-11 Friday but came back for a 9-3 win Saturday. On Sunday, Philadelphia fell in a tough one 3-2.
For Monday’s game, the Phillies will go with Jason Vargas in the start. Over 117.1 innings and 6-6 mark so far, Vargas has a 3.99 ERA with 92 Ks and 48 BBs.
The Pirates are 4-10 in their last 14 in game one of a series and 1-5 in their last six Monday games. Pittsburgh is 5-12 in Musgrove’s last 17 road starts and 2-6 in his last eight in game one of a series.
Meanwhile, the Phillies are 4-0 in their last four versus the NL Central and 5-13 in their last 18 Monday games. The over is 7-0 in Philly’s last seven Monday games and the under is 4-0 in Vargas’ last four starts overall.
Musgrove had a couple of solid games going but had some trouble his last time up with five earned in 5.0 innings. He’s now 0-3 over his last four starts.
As for Vargas, he’s been pretty solid over his last four games with a total of 10 earned runs, but has an 0-1 record to show for it in that time. Still, I’m more comfortable with the Phillies here so I’m leaning that way.