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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 8/26/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Monday August 26, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
The Line
Philadelphia Phillies -140 / Pittsburgh Pirates +130 O/U: 9.5
TV Channel
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Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Philadelphia Phillies will open up their MLB set on Monday.

The Pirates are coming off a weekend set against the Reds. Pittsburgh took the first pair of games in that series 3-2 and 14-0. In the Sunday finale, the Pirates eked one out 9-8 to complete the sweep.

For the Monday game, the Pirates will send out Joe Musgrove for the start. Across his 142.1 innings and 8-12 mark so far, Musgrove has a 4.74 ERA with 125 Ks and 34 BBs.

Over on the Phillies’ side, they’re fresh off a set versus the Marlins. The Phillies lost 19-11 Friday but came back for a 9-3 win Saturday. On Sunday, Philadelphia fell in a tough one 3-2.

For Monday’s game, the Phillies will go with Jason Vargas in the start. Over 117.1 innings and 6-6 mark so far, Vargas has a 3.99 ERA with 92 Ks and 48 BBs.

The Pirates are 4-10 in their last 14 in game one of a series and 1-5 in their last six Monday games. Pittsburgh is 5-12 in Musgrove’s last 17 road starts and 2-6 in his last eight in game one of a series.

Meanwhile, the Phillies are 4-0 in their last four versus the NL Central and 5-13 in their last 18 Monday games. The over is 7-0 in Philly’s last seven Monday games and the under is 4-0 in Vargas’ last four starts overall.

Musgrove had a couple of solid games going but had some trouble his last time up with five earned in 5.0 innings. He’s now 0-3 over his last four starts.

As for Vargas, he’s been pretty solid over his last four games with a total of 10 earned runs, but has an 0-1 record to show for it in that time. Still, I’m more comfortable with the Phillies here so I’m leaning that way.

Philadelphia Phillies -140

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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