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Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres - 8/16/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Friday August 16, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, PA
The Line
Philadelphia Phillies +100 / San Diego Padres -120
TV Channel
FS-San Diego
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Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in game one of a three game set in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Friday night.

The San Diego Padres will look to build some momentum after avoiding a sweep at the hands of Tampa Bay with a 7-2 win in Wednesday’s series finale. Luis Urias had a double and three RBIs while Eric Hosmer added a solo home run. Greg Garcia, Cal Quantrill and Wil Myers each had an RBI to finish off San Diego’s scoring while Francisco Mejia went 2 for 3. Manny Machado and Manuel Margot each added a base hit to cap off the Padres’ offense as a team in the victory. Quantrill got the win to improve to 6-3 on the year after giving up two runs on three hits while striking out four over 5.1 innings of work. Chris Paddack will start game one and is 7-5 with a 3.26 ERA and 115 strikeouts this season. This will be Paddack’s second career start against Philadelphia.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to keep the ball rolling after completing the three game sweep of the Cubs with a 7-5 win in the series finale on Thursday. Bryce Harper had a home run and four RBIs while Corey Dickerson and Roman Quinn each had two hits with a double and an RBI. Brad Miller added an RBI to cap off the Phillies’ scoring as a team in the win while J.T. Realmuto had a double. Cesar Hernandez, Adam Haseley and Logan Morrison each added base hits as well to sum up Philadelphia’s offense in the victory. Drew Smyly allowed five runs on seven hits while striking out six over five innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Ranger Suarez got the win to improve to 4-1 on the year in relief. Vince Velasquez will start game one and is 4-7 with a 4.30 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. In his career, Velasquez is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 25 strikeouts against San Diego.

San Diego is 2-6 in Paddack’s last 8 road starts and 2-9 in their last 11 games against the NL East while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 games overall. Philadelphia is 7-3 in Velasquez’s last 10 home starts and 1-5 in their last 6 games against the NL West while the under is 9-4 in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. San Diego is 5-13 in the last 18 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia.

Paddack is having a decent rookie season, but he’s allowed nine runs in ten innings across his last two starts and has an ERA just under four on the road this season, not as strong as his 2.53 ERA at home. Velasquez has been up and down and in and out of Philadelphia’s rotation, but he hasn’t allowed a run in 17.1 career innings against the Padres with 25 strikeouts. The Phillies are also coming off of a solid showing against the Cubs to start the week and need to keep stringing wins together if they’re going to keep their playoff hopes alive. I’ll side with Philadelphia and the low line on Friday.

Philadelphia Phillies +100

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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