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Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants - 8/1/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Thursday August 1, 2019, 1:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, PA
The Line
San Francisco Giants / Philadelphia Phillies -- O/U:
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Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in the rubber match of their three game set in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Thursday.

The San Francisco Giants will look to win the series after evening the set up at one win apiece following a 5-1 in game two on Wednesday. Kevin Pillar and Buster Posey each had a home run and two RBIs while Pablo Sandoval added a solo home run of his own to cap off San Fran’s scoring in the win. Austin Slater had two hits and Joe Panik added a double while Mike Yastrzemski and Brandon Crawford each had base hits as well in the victory. Jeff Samardzija got the win to improve to 8-8 on the year after tossing six shutout innings, giving up just three hits while striking out five. Dereck Rodriguez will start game three and is 4-5 with a 4.99 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. This will be Rodriguez’s second career start against Philadelphia.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to bounce back and win the series after losing in game two on Wednesday. Adam Haseley had Philadelphia’s lone RBI while Jean Segura went 2 for 4 and J.T. Realmuto chipped in a double. Cesar Hernandez and Maikel Franco each had a base hit as the Phillies had just five hits as a team in the losing effort. Vince Velasquez took the loss, falling to 3-6 on the year after allowing two runs on four hits while walking three and striking out six over five innings of work. Jake Arrieta will start game three and is 8-8 with a 4.51 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. In his career, Arrieta is 5-3 with a 2.60 ERA and 47 strikeouts against San Francisco.

San Francisco is 21-7 in their last 28 games overall and 12-3 in their last 15 road games while the over is 9-3-2 in their last 14 games against a team with a winning record. Philadelphia is 4-1 in their last 5 game three matchups and 5-2 in Arrieta’s last 7 starts against a team with a winning record while the over is 8-3 in their last 11 games against the NL West. San Francisco is 1-7 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia.

Arrieta is the more well known commodity at the moment, while Rodriguez has pitched just once since the end of June and that was over two weeks ago, so the logical pick would be to back the Phillies. However, Arrieta has allowed four or more runs in four of his last six starts, and in three starts against the NL West this season, Arrieta has a 7.47 ERA. San Francisco keeps finding ways to win games and provide value so while the prospect of Rodriguez starting doesn’t provide much confidence, the Giants are playing well enough to take a shot on winning the series on Thursday.

Pick:
San Francisco Giants

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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