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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals - 7/12/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time Friday July 12, 2019, 6:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, PA
The Line
Philadelphia Phillies +130 / Washington Nationals -150
TV Channel
MASN
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The Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in game one of a three game NL East division set in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Friday.

The Washington Nationals will look to pick up the second half where they left off, winning 28 of their last 39 games and picking up a series win over Kansas City with a 5-2 win last time out. Howie Kendrick had a double and two RBIs while Brian Dozier and Victor Robles each had a solo home run. Anthony Rendon added a double and an RBI to round out Washington’s scoring as a team in the win while Trea Turner added a double of his own. Adam Eaton and Yan Gomes each had a base knock to cap off Washington’s offense as a team in the winning effort. Patrick Corbin threw seven shutout innings, giving up just five hits while striking out 11, not factoring in the decision. Sean Doolittle got the win to improve to 6-2 on the year in relief. Stephen Strasburg will start game one and is 10-4 with a 3.64 ERA and 138 strikeouts this season. In his career, Strasburg is 12-2 with a 2.72 ERA and 191 strikeouts against Philadelphia.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to make a push in the second half after sitting in 3rd spot in the NL East at 47-43 following an 8-3 win in the finale of the first half of the season against the Mets last time out. Jay Bruce had a pair of home runs, going 3 for 4 with four RBIs while Rhys Hoskins had two RBIs while going 2 for 4 with a home run and a double. J.T. Realmuto added a double and two RBIs of his own to round out Philadelphia’s scoring as a team in the win while Bryce Harper, Jean Segura and Cesar Hernandez each had a pair of hits. Scott Kingery added a base hit of his own as well in the victory for the Phils. Aaron Nola got the win to improve to 8-2 on the year after giving up two runs, one earned, on three hits while walking three and striking out six over 6.2 innings of work. Nick Pivetta will start game one and is 4-3 with a 5.84 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pivetta is 1-6 with a 10.80 ERA and 31 strikeouts against Washington.

Washington is 15-3 in their last 18 division games and 41-11 in Strasburg’s last 52 division starts while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Philadelphia is 3-9 in Pivetta’s last 12 division starts and 4-0 in their last 4 home games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 division games. Washington is 18-4 in Strasburg’s last 22 starts against Philadelphia and 4-0 in Strasburg’s last 4 road starts against the Phillies while Philadelphia is 0-8 in Pivetta’s last 8 starts against Washington and 0-4 in Pivetta’s last 4 home starts against the Nationals.

I get that Philadelphia as a home dog is kind of tempting, but this is a steal of a price given the form of these two teams to close out the first half of the year. Washington was on fire and has Strasburg on the bump who has owned Philadelphia for the majority of his career and has gone 5-0 with a 2.30 ERA in 11 career starts in Philly. Philadelphia on the other hand, struggled with consistency for large parts of the first half of the season and send Pivetta to the mound who has allowed at least four runs in each of his last four starts, totalling 20 runs, 19 earned, in just 23.1 innings of work, and has been shelled by the Nationals in his career. Give me the Nationals to start the second half on a high note with a victory here.

Pick:
Washington Nationals -150

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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