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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 4/22/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates
Date & Time Monday April 22, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Location
PNC Park
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
The Line
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks +125 / Pittsburgh Pirates -145 -- Over/Under: 7.5
TV Channel
ATPT, FSAZ
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The Arizona Diamondbacks and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Monday in MLB action at PNC Park.

The Arizona Diamondbacks look for another win after winning five of their last seven games. The Diamondbacks have scored eight runs in their last three games and three or more runs in six of their last eight games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won six of their last nine games won scoring more than one run. David Peralta leads the Diamondbacks with 31 hits and 11 RBI while Adam Jones and Christian Walker have combined for 50 hits and 24 RBI. Zack Godley gets the ball, and he is 1-1 with a 6.26 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. Godley is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Pirates.

The Pittsburgh Pirates look for another win after winning six of their last eight games. The Pirates have scored nine runs in their last three games and three or more runs in six of their last eight games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have won nine straight games when scoring three or more runs. Josh Bell leads the Pirates with 19 hits and 13 RBI while Melky Cabrera and Adam Frazier have combined for 35 hits and seven RBI. Joe Musgrove gets the ball, and he is 1-1 with a 0.81 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. Musgrove is 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA and eight strikeouts in his career against the Diamondbacks.

The Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record, 1-6 in their last 7 Monday games and 3-7 in their last 10 vs. National League Central. The Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series, 4-0 in Musgroves last 4 home starts and 3-8 in Musgroves last 11 starts with 5 days of rest. The Diamondbacks are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. The under is 18-8-1 in Pirates last 27 home games. The over is 4-1 in Godleys last 5 starts overall.

Godley is a pitcher who I fade often, as he gets rocked more times than not, and he's allowed 16 earned runs in 23 innings this season. However, there is value with Godley in the underdog role, as he's won 16 of his last 21 starts as an underdog. Musgrove has allowed just two earned runs in 22.1 innings while striking out 21 batters and he's won seven of his last nine starts as a favorite. There's a case that can be made for either side, but I'm leaning toward the Pittsburgh Pirates because they're at home and I have more confidence in Musgrove than I do Godley. 

Pick:
Pittsburgh Pirates -145

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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