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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs - 7/4/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates
Date & Time Thursday July 4, 2019, 4:05 PM (EDT)
Location
PNC Park
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
The Line
Pittsburgh Pirates +108 / Chicago Cubs -118
TV Channel
ESPN, WGN
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The Chicago Cubs and the Pittsburgh Pirates will meet up on the MLB diamond Thursday to finish up their series.

Pittsburgh clobbered the Cubs 18-5 in the opener of this set, then on Tuesday kept it going with a 5-1 win. On Wednesday, Pittsburgh won in walk-off fashion 6-5.

For the Thursday game, the Cubs will be sending out Jose Quintana for the start. In his 94.0 innings and 5-7 record this year, Quintana has a 4.21 ERA with 78 Ks and 29 BBs.

Chicago put up two runs in the seventh inning to take a brief lead 4-5, but couldn’t save it on the ending homer despite their nine hits on the night.

Over on the Pirates’ side, they’re going with Jordan Lyles in the starting role Thursday. Over 70.1 innings and a 5-4 record this season, Lyles has a 3.71 ERA with 71 Ks and 26 BBs.

Pittsburgh’s Josh Bell was the walk-off hero on Wednesday, finishing with the two-run homer and a pair of runs.

The Cubs are 52-21 in their last 74 Thursday games and 36-17 in their last 54 in game four of a series. Chicago is 1-4 in Quintana’s last five road starts and 1-6 in his last seven starts.

Meanwhile, the Pirates are 6-15 in their last 21 Thursday games and 0-4 in Lyles’ last four starts. Pitt is 0-4 in Lyles’ last four starts versus the NL Central and 0-4 in his last four on grass.

Quintana had a meltdown versus the Mets, with eight earned on nine hits in 4.1 innings and just two Ks. He bounced back well in Cincinnati his last time up however, with zero earned in 6.0 innings.

As for Lyles, he’s been okay but not great over his last five starts, with 22 earned runs in that time. He’s 0-3 his last four times up.

I think Quintana will pitch well here so I’m going Cubs in the finale—so long as the offense can give him some support.

Pick:
Chicago Cubs -118

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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