Milwaukee Brewers (55-38) at Pittsburgh Pirates (43-49)
|Date & Time||Friday July 13, 2018, 7:05 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates -105 / Milwaukee Brewers -115 --- Over/Under: 8.5
The Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet in game two of their four game NL Central division set from PNC Park on Friday.
The Milwaukee Brewers will look to rebound after dropping the series opener on Thursday by a final score of 6-3. Jesus Aguilar belted a solo home run while Eric Thames and Christian Yelich each had an RBI single. Tyler Saladino and Erik Kratz each had two hits while Travis Shaw and Brad Miller each contributed a base hit as well in the losing effort. Wade Miley took the loss, falling to 1-1 this season after allowing two runs on four hits while walking and striking out five apiece over five innings of work. Junior Guerra will start game two and is 6-5 with a 2.79 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. In his career, Guerra is 1-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 30 strikeouts against Pittsburgh.
The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to keep their momentum going after their series-opening win on Thursday. Jordy Mercer led the Bucs by going 3 for 4 with four RBIs, while Josh Harrison went 2 for 2 with a double and an RBI and Starling Marte added a pair of hits with an RBI as well. Colin Moran and David Freese each had a base hit to cap off Pittsburgh’s offense in the win. Jameson Taillon got the win to improve to 6-7 this season, giving up one run on four hits while striking out ten over six innings of work. Felipe Vazquez notched his 21st save of the season by closing out the 9th. Nick Kingham will start game two and is 3-4 with a 4.26 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. This will be Kingham’s second career start against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is 4-0 in Guerra’s last 4 starts and 1-5 in their last 6 road games while the under is 7-1-1 in Guerra’s last 9 starts against a team with a losing record. Pittsburgh is 1-5 in Kingham’s last 6 starts and 9-21 in their last 30 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 Friday games. The under is 5-1 in Guerra’s last 6 starts against Pittsburgh.
The Brewers burned me on Thursday big time and Kingham has already beat Milwaukee this season. However, Kingham allowed four runs in just 5.1 innings in that game, and Milwaukee has gotten much better while Pittsburgh’s form since then has taken a major drop off. Furthermore, the Brewers have won each of Guerra’s last four starts and he has allowed two runs or less in eight of his last eleven starts. The Brewers had their chances offensively but just couldn’t cash in on Thursday but I don’t expect that to be an issue two days in a row so I’ll side with Milwaukee and the low line on Friday.