Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 8/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 8/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates

Monday, August 5, 2019 at 6:05 PM (PNC Park)

Pittsburgh Pirates +115 / Milwaukee Brewers -135 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet in game one of a three game NL Central division set in MLB action from PNC Park on Monday.

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to rebound after losing four straight and six of seven following a sweep at the hands of the Chicago Cubs, dropping a 7-2 decision in Sunday’s series finale. Trent Grisham went 3 for 4 and Christian Yelich went 2 for 4 with each belting a solo home run to make up Milwaukee’s scoring as a team in the loss. Mike Moustakas and Travis Shaw each went 2 for 4 to finish off Milwaukee’s offense in the defeat. Adrian Houser took the loss, falling to 4-5 on the year after allowing four runs on nine hits while striking out five over five innings of work. Jordan Lyles will start game one and is 6-7 with a 5.15 ERA and 94 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lyles is 1-5 with a 6.99 ERA and 51 strikeouts against Pittsburgh.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to bounce back after losing their series with the Mets over the weekend, dropping Sunday’s series finale by a final score of 13-2. Jose Osuna had a solo home run and a double while Colin Moran added an RBI of his own as well. Bryan Reynolds added a base hit as well as the Pirates mustered up just four hits as a team in the losing effort. Joe Musgrove ended up with the loss, falling to 8-10 on the year after allowing eight runs on ten hits while striking out five over just 3.1 innings of work. Dario Agrazal will start game one and is 2-2 with a 3.65 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. This will be Agrazal’s second career start against Milwaukee.

Milwaukee is 1-6 in their last 7 games overall and 1-5 in their last 6 road games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 series opening matchups. Pittsburgh is 1-7 in their last 8 home games and 7-20 in their last 27 games overall while the over is 9-1-1 in their last 11 Monday games. Milwaukee is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams.

The Brewers are in a better position in terms of the playoff hunt than Pittsburgh, but I’m not about to lay juice on the road with the Brewers in their current form. Lyles wasn’t pitching well as a Pirate, and while he had a decent first outing against Oakland, Lyles has still had issues against Pittsburgh in his career, and the Pirates know what kind of stuff Lyles throws. Agrazal has had his ups and downs, but most of those came on the road while the rookie has allowed just three runs in 12 innings in two starts at home. I would probably watch this game rather than bet, but if forced to pick, I’d take a shot with the Pirates and the plus money at home.

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Chris’s Pick Pittsburgh Pirates +115

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.