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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets - 7/29/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
New York Mets (43-58) at Pittsburgh Pirates (54-51)
Date & Time Sunday July 29, 2018, 1:35 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates -135 / New York Mets +115 --- Over/Under: 8.5
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MLB | New York Mets (43-58) at Pittsburgh Pirates (54-51)
Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet in the finale of their four game set from PNC Park on Sunday.

The New York Mets will look to salvage a series split after dropping game three by a final score of 5-0 on Saturday. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom led the Mets by going 2 for 3 with a double while Michael Conforto, Jose Bautista, Jeff McNeil and Devin Mesoraco each added a base hit in the losing effort. DeGrom took the loss, falling to 5-6 this season after allowing three runs on eight hits while striking out five over seven innings of work. Zack Wheeler will start the finale and is 4-6 with a 4.33 ERA and 109 strikeouts this season. In his career, Wheeler is 0-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 12 strikeouts against Pittsburgh.

The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to win the series after taking game three on Saturday. Colin Moran led Pittsburgh with two RBIs, while Adam Frazier, Francisco Cervelli and David Freese each added an RBI to round out the Pirates’ scoring in the win, with Frazier going 3 for 4 with a double. Gregory Polanco went 3 for 4 with a pair of doubles, while Jordan Luplow and Jordy Mercer each added a base hit in the winning effort. Trevor Williams got the win after tossing six shutout innings, allowing just five hits while striking out five to improve to 9-7 this season. Joe Musgrove will start the finale and is 4-4 with a 3.90 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. This will be Musgrove’s first career start against the Mets. 

New York is 2-10 in their last 12 games against the NL Central and 1-4 in Wheeler’s last 5 road starts while the over is 4-1 in Wheeler’s last 5 starts overall. Pittsburgh is 14-3 in their last 17 games overall and 8-1 in their last 9 games against a right-handed starter while the under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against the NL East. The over is 9-2-2 in the last 13 meetings between these two teams and 4-0-2 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Pittsburgh.

The story was the same for the Mets on Saturday, get their ace on the mound in deGrom, give him no run support, and lose again. It doesn’t matter who pitches for the Mets, there’s simply no backing New York. It doesn’t hurt that we are getting the better team that’s red hot in Pittsburgh with a reasonable line as well. Give me Pittsburgh to win the series on Sunday.

Pick:
Pittsburgh -135

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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