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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 7/20/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates
Date & Time Saturday July 20, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Location
PNC Park
Pittsburgh, PA
The Line
Pittsburgh Pirates -120 / Philadelphia Phillies +100
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The Philadelphia Phillies and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet in game two of a three game set in MLB action from PNC Park on Saturday.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to build up some momentum after opening the series with a 6-1 victory on Friday. Adam Haseley had a home run, a double and two RBIs while Jean Segura, Bryce Harper and Maikel Franco each added an RBI with Harper going 2 for 5 with a double. J.T. Realmuto went 3 for 5 with a double of his own while Cesar Hernandez and Scott Kingery each had two hits. Brad Miller and Nick Williams each added a base knock as well to finish off the Phillies’ offense as a team in victory. Jake Arrieta allowed one run on six hits while striking out four over 5.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Juan Nicasio got the win to improve to 2-3 on the year while Cole Irvin closed out the final two innings for his 1st save. Zach Eflin will start game two and is 7-9 with a 4.16 ERA and 88 strikeouts this season. This will be Eflin’s second career start against Pittsburgh.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are desperate to stop the bleeding after losing six of seven following a series opening loss on Friday. Elias Diaz accounted for the lone Pittsburgh RBI in the loss while Corey Dickerson had three hits and Colin Moran went 2 for 3 with a double. Bryan Reynolds added a base hit of his own in the losing effort for Pittsburgh. Jordan Lyles gave up one run on seven hits while striking out seven over 5.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Richard Rodriguez took the loss, falling to 3-4 on the year. Joe Musgrove will start game two and is 6-8 with a 4.31 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. This will be Musgrove's first career start against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia is 7-20 in Eflin’s last 27 road starts and 8-3 in their last 11 games against the NL Central while the over is 4-0 in Eflin’s last 4 starts overall. Pittsburgh is 1-6 in their last 7 games overall and 2-6 in their last 8 games against the NL East while the over is 23-6-2 in their last 31 home games. Philadelphia is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

Eflin has allowed six or more runs in three of his last four starts, and the Phillies haven’t had a lot of luck with him on the mound lately, dropping eight of his last ten starts. Eflin also hasn’t had a lot of luck on the road, going just 2-6 on the year. However, the Phillies appear to be the more capable team offensively, and it’s still hard to get a feel on Musgrove right now as he's been a mixed bag and has a higher ERA at home than on the road this season. Eflin’s lone career start against the Pirates was a complete game shutout and side by side, the Phillies are the team in better form, and getting them at plus money sounds like some good value on Saturday so I’ll side with the Phillies here.

Pick:
Philadelphia Phillies +100

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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