San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox - 8/23/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
Boston Red Sox at San Diego Padres
Friday, August 23, 2019 at 9:10 PM (Petco Park)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -114 / San Diego Padres +105 -- Over/Under: 8.5
TV: FSSD, NESN
The Boston Red Sox and San Diego Padres meet Friday in MLB action at Petco Park.
The Boston Red Sox need a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Red Sox have scored 17 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in 10 of their last 13 games. The Boston Red Sox have won eight of their last 11 games when scoring four or more runs. Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 168 hits and 102 RBI while Xander Bogaerts and J.D. Martinez have combined for 290 hits and 165 RBI. Eduardo Rodriguez gets the ball, and he is 14-5 with a 4.10 ERA and 149 strikeouts this season. This will be Rodriguez’s first career game against the Padres.
The San Diego Padres look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Padres have scored seven runs in their last three games and three or less runs in five of their last 10 games. The San Diego Padres have lost 10 of their last 12 games when scoring three or less runs. Eric Hosmer leads the Padres with 140 hits and 82 RBI while Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 232 hits and 124 RBI. Chris Paddack gets the ball, and he is 7-6 with a 3.44 ERA and 121 strikeouts this season. This will be Paddack’s first career game against the Red Sox.
The Red Sox are 21-7 in their last 28 interleague road games, 13-6 in their last 19 during game 1 of a series and 39-12 in Rodriguezs last 51 starts. The Padres are 6-13 in their last 19 home games, 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series and 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day. The Red Sox are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in San Diego and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The over is 4-0 in Paddacks last 4 starts overall. The over is 20-7 in Rodriguezs last 27 starts overall.
Rodriguez has allowed 26 hits and 11 runs in his last 25 innings, and he has a 4.70 ERA and .275 allowed batting average on the road. Paddack has allowed 20 hits and 13 earned runs in his last 14.2 innings, and he has a 2.53 ERA and .168 allowed batting average at home. Paddack clearly hasn't been great this month, but he's been tough at home where the Padres have won six of his last seven starts. Rodriguez is more than hittable, especially on the road, and the Red Sox remain one of the worst teams to back this season due to constantly losing in the favorite role. Only the Royals and Tigers have lost more money for bettors this season than the Red Sox. Give me the Padres and the plus money.