San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs - 9/11/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres
Wednesday, September 11, 2019 at 9:10 PM (Petco Park)
The Line: Chicago Cubs -116 / San Diego Padres -105 -- Over/Under: 8
TV: WLS, FSSD, RSPN
The Chicago Cubs and San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in MLB action at Petco Park.
The Chicago Cubs need a win after splitting their last 12 games. The Cubs have scored 23 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in eight of their last 12 games. The Chicago Cubs have won seven of their last nine games when scoring four or more runs. Javier Baez leads the Cubs with 149 hits and 85 RBI while Kris Bryant and Anthony Rizzo have combined for 273 hits and 151 RBI. Cole Hamels gets the ball, and he is 7-6 with a 3.95 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. Hamels is 9-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 107 strikeouts in his career against the Padres.
The San Diego Padres look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Padres have scored 13 runs in their last three games and three or less runs in seven of their last 11 games. The San Diego Padres have lost five of their last seven games when scoring three or less runs. Eric Hosmer leads the Padres with 155 hits and 92 RBI while Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 246 hits and 131 RBI. Chris Paddack gets the ball, and he is 8-7 with a 3.54 ERA and 137 strikeouts this season. This will be Paddack’s first career game against the Cubs.
The Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 Wednesday games, 2-5 in Hamels' last 7 road starts and 1-4 in Hamels' last 5 starts. The Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League Central, 1-4 in their last 5 Wednesday games and 6-2 in Paddack's last 8 home starts. The Cubs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego and 8-4 in the last 12 meetings. The over is 5-1-1 in Paddack's last 7 starts overall. The under is 10-3 in Hamels' last 13 starts overall.
Hamels has allowed 47 hits and 24 earned runs in his last 30.1 innings, and he has a 5.66 ERA and .309 allowed batting average on the road. Paddack has allowed 36 hits and 20 earned runs in his last 29.1 innings, and he has a 3.40 ERA and .192 allowed batting average at home. Hamels has been awful outside of Wrigley this season, and the Cubs have lost four of his last five starts. Paddack has been hit or miss all year, but he's at his best by far at home, and he's actually a pretty tough pitcher to hit when he's not giving up homers or walking batters. I'll side with the Padres.