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San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - 5/3/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres
Date & Time Friday May 3, 2019, 10:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Petco Park
San Diego, CA
The Line
Los Angeles Dodgers -185 / San Diego Padres +160 -- O/U: 7
TV Channel
FS-San Diego
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The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet in game one of a three game NL West division set from Petco Park on Friday night.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to bounce back after losing their rubber match with the Giants, falling to San Francisco by a final score of 2-1 in the series finale on Wednesday. Cody Bellinger accounted for the lone Los Angeles RBI in the loss while Alex Verdugo and Enrique Hernandez each went 2 for 4 with Hernandez adding a double. Justin Turner went 1 for 4 to round out L.A.’s offense as a team in the losing effort. Hyun-Jin Ryu allowed one run on four hits while striking out six over eight innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Julio Urias took the loss, falling to 2-2 on the year. Clayton Kershaw will start game one and is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. In his career, Kershaw is 18-6 with a 1.90 ERA and 236 strikeouts against San Diego.

The San Diego Padres will look to built some steam after salvaging a series split with Atlanta following an 11-2 win in the series finale on Thursday. Wil Myers led the Padres by going 2 for 5 with a homer and three RBIs while Ian Kinsler went 3 for 6 with a home run, a pair of doubles and two RBIs. Eric Hosmer added two RBIs and Ty France had a triple and an RBI while Manny Machado added a double and an RBI. Manuel Margot went 2 for 5 with an RBI while Austin Hedges and Franmil Reyes each had two hits to cap off San Diego’s offense as a team in the winning effort. Matt Strahm got the win to improve to 1-2 after giving up two runs on eight hits while striking out six over six innings of work. Eric Lauer will start game one and is 2-3 with a 4.41 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lauer is 3-0 with a 0.92 ERA and 18 strikeouts against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles is 53-12 in Kershaw’s last 65 division starts and 5-2 in their last 7 games overall while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 games against a left-handed starter. San Diego is 7-3 in their last 10 games overall and 5-2 in Lauer’s last 7 division starts while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 home games. Los Angeles is 22-5 in Kershaw’s last 27 starts against San Diego and 6-0 in Kershaw’s last 6 road starts against San Diego.

The plus money with San Diego at home is tempting considering how well the Padres have played lately and how much success Lauer has had against the Dodgers, but the fact is that the Padres had to travel cross country for this one while Los Angeles stayed in the state of California. There’s also the part about how Kershaw has pretty much owned the Padres in his career. Kershaw hasn’t taken a loss against the Padres since 2013. Sometimes, as good as a team may be, the numbers tell you the real story and that is that the Dodgers rarely lose to the Padres with Kershaw on the bump. I’ll side with the Dodgers, and to negate the heavy juice, I’ll side with L.A. on the run line here.

Pick:
LA Dodgers -1.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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