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San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - 7/9/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Los Angeles Dodgers (48-41) at San Diego Padres (39-53)
Date & Time Monday July 9, 2018, 10:10 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: San Diego Padres +220 / Los Angeles Dodgers -240 --- Over/Under: 7
TV Channel
FSSD, SNLA
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MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers (48-41) at San Diego Padres (39-53)
Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres meet Monday in MLB action at Petco Park.

The Los Angeles Dodgers look for a spark of consistency here after splitting their last 12 games. The Dodgers have scored eight runs in their last three games and four or more runs in seven of their last 12 games. The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 31 of their last 37 games when scoring at least three runs. Matt Kemp leads the Dodgers with 87 hits and 57 RBI while Chris Taylor and Cody Bellinger have combined for 156 hits and 80 RBI. Clayton Kershaw gets the ball, and he is 2-4 with a 2.86 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. Kershaw is 17-6 with a 1.94 ERA and 222 strikeouts in his career against the Padres.

The San Diego Padres have a chance to win back-to-back games for the first time since June 12-13. The Padres have allowed 26 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in seven of their last 12 games. The San Diego Padres have lost 13 straight games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Eric Hosmer leads the Padres with 87 hits and 38 RBI while Jose Pirela and Freddy Galvis have combined for 164 hits and 57 RBI. Luis Perdomo gets the ball, and he is 1-2 with a 6.86 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. Perdomo is 1-5 with a 9.55 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Dodgers.

The Dodgers are 11-2 in their last 13 during game 1 of a series, 42-19 in Kershaws last 61 road starts and 59-19 in Kershaws last 78 starts. The Padres are 15-37 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series, 1-4 in Perdomos last 5 home starts and 1-6 in Perdomos last 7 starts. The Dodgers are 36-17 in the last 53 meetings, 20-6 in Kershaws last 26 starts vs. Padres and 5-0 in Kershaws last 5 road starts vs. Padres.

While Kershaw has been solid when he's pitched, the Dodgers have lost five of his last seven starts, so there's value in fading these insane prices. However, the San Diego Padres just played 16 innings against Arizona on Sunday, so the bullpen is shot, and Perdomo is batting practice whenever he takes the hill. Perdomo has allowed 30 hits and 17 runs in 19.2 innings this season, making for an allowed batting average of .353 and a WHIP of 2.19. Um, no thank you. In 81 career at bats against current Padres hitters, Kershaw has an allowed batting average of .210 with 25 strikeouts. Give me the Dodgers and the RL to increase the value of the bet. Betting the Padres isn't an option in this spot.

Pick:
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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