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San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins - 5/31/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres
Date & Time Friday May 31, 2019, 10:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Petco Park
San Diego, CA
The Line
San Diego Padres -155 / Miami Marlins +135
TV Channel
FS-Florida, FS-San Diego
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Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Marlins and the San Diego Padres meet in game one of a three game weekend set in MLB action on Friday night.

The Miami Marlins will look to bounce back after failing to complete the sweep of San Francisco with a 3-1 loss in the series finale on Thursday. Starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara accounted for the lone RBI in the losing effort while Garrett Cooper went 2 for 3 and Miguel Rojas had a double. Rosell Herrera, Starlin Castro and Harold Ramirez each had a base hit to round out Miami’s offense as a team in the losing effort. Alcantara threw six shutout innings, allowing just two hits while walking five and striking out three, not factoring in the decision. Adam Conley took the loss in relief, falling to 1-5 on the year. Caleb Smith will start game one and is 3-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. In his career, Smith is 2-0 with a 0.73 ERA and 9 strikeouts against San Diego.

The San Diego Padres will look to rebound after losing their series with the Yankees, dropping the series finale by a final score of 7-0 last time out. Austin Allen had a pinch-hit double while Wil Myers, Eric Hosmer and Hunter Renfroe each had base hits as well to round out San Diego’s offense as a team as the Padres cranked out just four hits as a team in the loss. Chris Paddack gave up four runs on six hits while striking out six over five innings of work to fall to 4-3 this season. Joey Lucchesi will start the opener and is 3-3 with a 4.25 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. This will be Lucchesi’s first career start against Miami.

Miami is 4-0 in Smith’s last 4 starts against the NL West and 9-4 in their last 13 games overall while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss. San Diego is 4-1 in Lucchesi’s last 5 starts against the NL East and 16-36 in their last 52 games against a left-handed starter while the under is 5-1 in Lucchesi’s last 6 home starts against a team with a losing record. Miami is 1-5 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

San Diego being favored at home makes sense as Lucchesi has pitched pretty well lately, and Smith is fresh off of his worst start of the season where he gave up five runs in three innings. However, San Diego is still having issues with consistency, while Miami continues to pick up wins on a more frequent basis. Smith also has sparkling numbers in a small sample size against the Padres, so I’ll take a shot with Miami and the plus money on Friday in the hopes that Smith rebounds.

Pick:
Miami Marlins +135

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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