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San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 6/17/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres
Date & Time Monday June 17, 2019, 10:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Petco Park
San Diego, CA
The Line
San Diego Padres -120 / Milwaukee Brewers +100
TV Channel
FS-San Diego, FS-Wisconsin
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Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres meet in the opener of a three game set in MLB action from Petco Park on Monday.

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to build some steam after a 5-3 win in Sunday’s series finale, avoiding the sweep in the process. Eric Thames and Jesus Aguilar each had a solo home run while Christian Yelich had a pair of doubles and an RBI. Yasmani Grandal and Ben Gamel each had an RBI to finish off Milwaukee’s scoring as a team in the win while Travis Shaw had two hits and Mike Moustakas and Ryan Braun each had a base hit as well in the victory. Chase Anderson gave up three runs on five hits while walking four and striking out three, not factoring in the decision. Matt Albers got the win to improve to 3-2 while Josh Hader picked up his 17th save of the season by closing out the final two innings. Jhoulys Chacin will start the opener and is 3-7 with a 5.74 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. In his career, Chacin is 7-2 with a 3.52 ERA and 53 strikeouts against San Diego.

The San Diego Padres will look to build some steam after earning a series split in a high-scoring series with Colorado, taking the finale on Sunday by a final score of 14-13. Greg Garcia went 4 for 5 with a pair of triples and four RBIs while Hunter Renfroe had a pair of home runs and three RBIs. Eric Hosmer had two RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. went 3 for 6 with an RBI, including a triple and a double. Wil Myers, Luis Perdomo, Manny Machado and Matt Strahm each had RBIs while Manuel Margot added a double. Josh Naylor added a base knock of his own to cap off San Diego’s offense as a team in the winning effort. Nick Margevicius allowed nine runs on 11 hits over just 1.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Gerardo Reyes got the win in relief to improve to 3-0 while Kirby Yates closed out the 9th for his 24th save of the year. Joey Lucchesi will start game one and is 5-4 with a 4.11 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. This will be Lucchesi’s second career start against Milwaukee.

Milwaukee is 0-6 in Chacin’s last 6 road starts and 36-17 in their last 53 series opening matchups while the over is 3-0-2 in their last 5 games overall. San Diego is 5-11 in Lucchesi’s last 16 starts against a team with a winning record and 2-6 in their last 8 games overall while the over is 7-0 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record. Milwaukee is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams and 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in San Diego.

The plus money with the Brewers is tempting considering how much success Chacin has had in his career against the Padres. However, Chacin hasn’t pitched in over two weeks after coming off of the IL and before that, Chacin took the loss in each of his last four starts, giving up 11 runs in 7.2 innings across his last two starts. That’s not a good thing especially when you look at how the Padres broke out the bats against Colorado, scoring 44 runs across the four games. Lucchesi has been a mixed bag, but all five of his wins this season have come at home and he has an ERA just over three at Petco Park this season. I think the Padres need this win more than Milwaukee does, so I’ll lay the juice with the Padres to draw first blood on Monday.

Pick:
San Diego Padres -120

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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