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San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets - 5/6/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Mets at San Diego Padres
Date & Time Monday May 6, 2019, 10:10 PM (EDT)
Petco Park
San Diego, CA
The Line
New York Mets -120 / San Diego Padres +110 -- O/U: 6.5
TV Channel
FS-San Diego, SNY
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Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets and the San Diego Padres meet in the opener of a three game set from Petco Park in MLB action on Monday.

The New York Mets will look to rebound after losing 8 of their last 11 games following a 3-2 loss to Milwaukee last time out that resulting in the Mets being swept in the series. Juan Lagares had a solo home run while Tomas Nido had an RBI as well to round out New York’s scoring as a team in the loss. Amed Rosario went 3 for 4 with a double while Keon Broxton had a double of his own to cap off the Mets’ offense in the defeat. Jason Vargas took the loss, falling to 1-2 after allowing three runs on three hits while striking out five over four innings of work. Jacob DeGrom will start game one and is 2-3 with a 3.82 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. In his career, DeGrom is 3-2 with a 1.66 ERA and 45 strikeouts against San Diego.

The San Diego Padres will look to keep their momentum going after picking up an 8-5 victory in their series finale on Sunday. Hunter Renfroe had the game-winning pinch-hit grand slam while Francisco Mejia had a triple and two RBIs. Franmil Reyes and Greg Garcia each had an RBI with Reyes hitting a solo homer to round out San Diego’s scoring as a team in the win while Garcia had a double. Wil Myers, Manuel Margot and Eric Hosmer each had base hits as well in the winning effort for the Padres. Nick Margevicius allowed three runs on seven hits over 5.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Adam Warren got the win in relief to improve to 2-0 this season. Chris Paddack will start game one and is 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. This will be Paddack’s first career start against the Mets.

New York is 0-4 in DeGrom’s last 4 starts and 3-8 in their last 11 games overall while the under is 11-4-2 in DeGrom’s last 17 road starts. San Diego is Paddack’s last 6 starts and 3-9 in their last 12 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 series opening matchups. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams and 19-7-2 in the last 28 meetings between these two teams in San Diego.

I can understand the Mets being favored because DeGrom is more of a household name than Chris Paddack. However, DeGrom hasn’t been the normal shutdown ace we’ve become accustomed to seeing over the last couple of years and the Mets are struggling big time right now. The Padres seem to rally around Paddack, as they’ve won five of his six starts and Paddack himself has allowed two runs or less in those five starts. The Padres also got to stay at home after winning their series finale against the mighty Dodgers while the Mets have to travel halfway across the country in a day for this game. I like the value of the Padres and the plus money here.

San Diego +110

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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