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San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants - 3/28/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
Date & Time Thursday March 28, 2019, 4:10 PM (EDT)
Petco Park
San Diego, California
The Line
The Line: San Francisco Giants +105 / San Diego Padres -115 -- Over/Under: 8
TV Channel
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Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres meet Thursday in MLB action at Petco Park.

The San Francisco Giants are coming off another frustrating losing season and will enter the last year under legendary manager Bruce Bochy. The Giants lack youth and depth to be taken seriously as a contender this season, but health could certainly go a long way to improving those odds. The Giants have battled injuries left and right these past two years, and simply getting a full season out of Bumgarner, Evan Longoria and Jeff Samardzija could at the very least improve last years win total. I’m not ready to give up on the Giants just yet, but the margin for error is very slim with this club. The San Francisco Giants have won four of their last five opening days. Madison Bumgarner gets the ball, and he was 6-7 with a 3.26 ERA and 109 strikeouts last season. Bumgarner is 12-9 with a 3.19 ERA and 212 strikeouts in his career against the Padres.

The San Diego Padres have had a losing season in each of the last eight years and haven’t made the postseason since 2006. That’s why the Padres open up the wallet to land a star like Manny Machado in hopes of changing the culture and eventually turning this franchise into a winner. The Padres also have a loaded farm system that will slowly but surely produce reliable everyday players. The Padres probably aren’t contenders in the competitive NL West just yet, but this is a team that’s clearly improved and on the rise for long term success. The Padres can no longer be automatic fade material like they’ve been in the past. The San Diego Padres have lost each of their last four opening days. Eric Lauer gets the ball, and he was 6-7 with a 4.34 ERA and 100 strikeouts last season. Lauer is 0-0 with a 3.94 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Giants.

The Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League West, 1-4 in Bumgarners last 5 road starts and 1-4 in Bumgarners last 5 starts. The Padres are 11-24 in their last 35 vs. National League West, 13-29 in their last 42 home games and 4-1 in Lauers last 5 starts. The Giants are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego and 2-5 in Bumgarners last 7 starts vs. Padres. The under is 3-1-2 in Lauers last 6 starts overall. The under is 20-8-3 in Bumgarners last 31 starts overall.

Bumgarner hasn't exactly been Bumgarner the last couple of years and you have to question if he'll ever return to the pitcher he once was. Now that he's healthy and had a spring where he said he felt good, we'll find out soon if the Giants get their ace back in ace form. And even with the Padres improved and the unknowns of which Bumgarner we're going to get, getting him and the Giants at plus money is something I can't turn down. I'm just not used to getting Bumgarner as an underdog, and while he hasn't been himself lately, there's still value knowing that the top tier pitcher is in there somewhere. 

San Francisco Giants +105

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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