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Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros - 7/30/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Astros (67-39) at Seattle Mariners (61-43)
Date & Time Monday July 30, 2018, 10:10 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Seattle Mariners +106 / Houston Astros -116 --- Over/Under: 7.5
TV Channel
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MLB | Houston Astros (67-39) at Seattle Mariners (61-43)
Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

Up at Safeco Field on Monday, the Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners will be kicking off their MLB series. 

The Astros are coming off a set against the Rangers this weekend. After losing the first two games 11-2 and 7-3, on Sunday Houston fell again 4-3. 

Houston will be rolling with RHP Gerrit Cole on Monday. Across his 134.2 innings and 10-2 mark this year, Cole has a 2.54 ERA with 156 Ks. 

The Astros’ leading hitter this year is Jose Altuve, who entered this week on 134 hits, 64 runs and 46 RBI. In the Sunday game, Tyler White was about the only productive Astro, bagging three hits, two runs and a solo homer. Altuve is on the DL. 

As for the Mariners, they’re fresh off a series versus the Angels. Seattle lost the first two games 4-3 and 11-5, and in the Sunday finale the Mariners secured an 8-5 win to prevent the sweep. 

Seattle will be going with James Paxton on Monday. Over his 119.1 innings and 8-4 mark this year, Paxton has a 3.70 ERA with 155 Ks and 33 BBs. 

Tops in hitting for Seattle this season is Jean Segura, entering this week with 126 hits, 68 runs and 49 RBI. In the Sunday game, Segura had a hit, an RBI and a run. 

The Astros are 39-18 in their last 57 in game one of a series and the under is 27-10-1 in their last 38 Monday games. The under is 33-16-2 in Houston’s last 51 in game one of a series and they’re 7-2 in their last nine road games versus a left-handed starter. 

Meanwhile, the Mariners are 4-0 in their last four Monday games and 1-5 in the last six during game one of a series. Seattle is also 5-0 in Paxton’s last five starts in game one of a series and 1-4 in his last five starts with 17 or more days of rest. 

Over his last two starts, Paxton has given up a total of seven earned over 7.2 innings on 10 hits versus Colorado and the Angels. As for Cole, he just picked up his 100th career quality start and has been great in a strikeout capacity. I can’t find a whole lot of reasons not to take the Astros here.

Houston Astros -116

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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