St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves - 5/26/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals
Sunday, May 26, 2019 at 6:05 PM (Busch Stadium)
St. Louis Cardinals -145 / Atlanta Braves +125
The Atlanta Braves and the St. Louis Cardinals meet in the rubber match of their three game set in MLB action from Busch Stadium on Sunday Night Baseball.
The Atlanta Braves will look to win the series despite dropping game two on Saturday by a final score of 6-3. Austin Riley, Tyler Flowers and Ozzie Albies each had a double and an RBI while Nick Markakis went 2 for 4 and Dansby Swanson and Josh Donaldson each had a base hit to capp off Atlanta’s offense as the Braves had seven hits as a team in the loss. Mike Soroka gave up two runs, one earned, on five hits while striking out five over six innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Dan Winkler ended up with the loss in relief to fall to 1-1 this season. Julio Teheran will start the finale and is 3-4 with a 3.67 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. In his career, Teheran is 3-3 with a 2.77 ERA and 35 strikeouts against St. Louis.
The St. Louis Cardinals will look to win the set after evening the series up at one win apiece following their victory on Saturday. Jedd Gyorko had a three run home run in a pinch-hitting role while Matt Carpenter went 3 for 4 with two RBIs and Paul Goldschmidt added three hits and an RBI of his own. Marcell Ozuna and Yadier Molina each had base hits as well in the victory for St. Louis. Dakota Hudson gave up two runs on five hits over 6.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Andrew Miller got the win to improve to 2-2 this season while Jordan Hicks picked up his 10th save of the year. Jack Flaherty will start game three and is 4-3 with a 4.19 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. In his career, Flaherty is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 12 strikeouts against Atlanta.
Atlanta is 22-6 in Teheran’s last 28 Sunday Starts and 11-4 in their last 15 games overall while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against the NL Central. St. Louis is 5-11 in Flaherty’s last 16 starts and 6-15 in their last 21 games overall while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win. Atlanta is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in St. Louis.
I can understand St. Louis being favored at home after their win on Saturday along with the fact that Flaherty is a much better pitcher at home than he is on the road, with a 2.48 ERA as opposed to a 6.20 ERA on the road. However, Atlanta is a better team offensively than what we saw on Saturday, and Flaherty has still be prone to give up a few runs when he takes the mound. Teheran has had his own hiccups in his own right, but he’s given up one run or less in each of his last four starts. I just think Atlanta and the plus money is too good to pass up on Sunday, so I’ll side with the Braves here.