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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds - 4/22/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Cincinnati Reds (3-16) at St. Louis Cardinals (11-8)
Date & Time Sunday April 22, 2018, 2:15 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals -146 / Cincinnati Reds +136 --- Over/Under: 8.5
TV Channel
FSOH, FSMW
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MLB | Cincinnati Reds (3-16) at St. Louis Cardinals (11-8)
Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

Coming up from Busch Stadium on Sunday, the Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals will be finishing up their MLB set. 

The Cardinals took the Friday win 4-2, then on Saturday, St. Louis put up a 4-3 victory. 

For the Sunday game, the Reds will be trotting out RHP Luis Castillo for the start. In his 22.2 innings and 1-2 record this year, Castillo has a 6.75 ERA with 21 Ks and seven BBs. 

Coming into the weekend, the Reds’ leading hitter was Scooter Gennett with 21 hits, five RBI and five runs. On Saturday, Gennett had two hits and two RBI. 

Over on the Cardinals’ side, they’re going with Miles Mikolas on Sunday. In his 19.0 innings and 2-0 mark this season, Mikolas has a 4.26 ERA with 14 Ks and two walks. 

The Cardinals’ top hitter entering the weekend was Jose Martinez with 24 hits, seven runs and 16 RBI. In the Saturday game, Martinez came up empty 0-for-4. 

The Reds are 26-55 in their last 81 Sunday games and 10-25 in their last 35 in game three of a series. Cincinnati is also 1-4 in Castillo’s last five starts with five days’ rest and the under is 5-1 in their last six Sunday games. 

Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight overall and the under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 Sunday games. The under is also 18-7-2 in St. Louis’ last 27 during game three of a series and the Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight versus the NL Central.

Castillo has been pretty shaky in his four starts this year, with just one outing where he allowed fewer than four earned. As for Mikolas, he gave up eight earned across his first two starts, but then calmed down with one earned in 7.0 innings in his last appearance—which was against the Reds. I don’t have a ton of faith in the Cards offense (though they’ve been better than I expected) but I think they can get it done here.

Pick:
St. Louis Cardinals -146

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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